Football
Premier Division Premier Division
· Regular Season - 17
Waterford

Waterford

2–2

Full Time

Derry City

Derry City

🏟 Regional Sports Centre, Waterford
🟡 D. Carolan
📋 Regular Season - 17
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Derry City Win

3-Way Result

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.67 bookmaker Low Risk

Our analysis strongly favors Derry City with multiple metrics aligning: the comparison metrics show 80% form for the away team versus only 20% for Waterford and the H2H data gives Derry a 60% edge. Season stats further support Derry by recording only 0.8 goals conceded on average compared to Waterford's 2.2. These figures and the historical H2H wins (7 out of 9) bolster the confidence in a Derry City win. Given the bookmaker odds of 1.67 for a Derry City win, the risk remains low despite potential unpredictability.

Best Value

Derry City Win

3-Way Result

The value edge is compelling on the 3-Way Result for Derry City Win, with our fair odds estimated at approximately 1.18 (based on an 85% probability) compared to the bookmaker odds of 1.67, which gives roughly a 41% edge. The away team’s superior metrics such as an 80% form and 59% Poisson score probability, together with a dominant H2H record, support this outcome. These multiple convergent factors reduce risk and offer value. While the market is competitive, this option provides both high confidence and strong value.

85%

prob.

1.67

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Derry City Win

Derry City form at 80% vs Waterford at 20%

85%

odds 1.67

Double Chance

Waterford or Derry City

Waterford last-5 form at 13% vs Derry City's 53%

95%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Waterford
Waterford
DLDLD
Derry City
Derry City
DDWWD

Current Standings

6
Derry City
Derry City
20 P 4 W 22 Pts
10
Waterford
Waterford
19 P 1 W 11 Pts

Head to Head

15 May 26
Waterford Waterford
2–2
Derry City Derry City
D
27 Feb 26
Derry City Derry City
4–2
Waterford Waterford
H
17 Oct 25
Waterford Waterford
1–2
Derry City Derry City
A
4 Jul 25
Derry City Derry City
7–2
Waterford Waterford
H
25 Apr 25
Waterford Waterford
2–1
Derry City Derry City
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
36 19 66
2
Derry City Derry City
36 18 63
3
Shelbourne Shelbourne
36 15 59
4
Bohemians Bohemians
36 16 54
5
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
36 13 52
6
Drogheda United Drogheda United
36 12 51
7
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
36 11 41
8
Galway United Galway United
36 9 39
9
Waterford Waterford
36 11 39
10
Cork City Cork City
36 4 24
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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