St Patrick's Athl.
Full Time
Waterford
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
St Patrick's Athl. Win
3-Way Result
90%
confidence
St Patrick's Athl. show overwhelming strength with a 73% home form and an impressive 91% Poisson home advantage. Their head-to-head advantage of 85% and season goal superiority (27 total goals) further support a strong win. Recent H2H results confirm consistent away wins for them, including a 2-0 and a 3-0 victory. The convergence of 64% attacking and 57% defensive comparison metrics emphasizes their dominance. Although cautious, all independent factors align in favor of a home win. This pick is supported by multiple key stats, making it our highest confidence option.
Best Value
St Patrick's Athl. Win
3-Way Result
Considering value, the 3-Way Result pick for a St Patrick's Athl. win holds strong evidence with a 91% home Poisson distribution and 85% head-to-head advantage. The fair odds calculation using a 90% probability implies a fair value around 1.11, while the bookmaker odds of 1.20 offer a modest value edge. Season stats, such as a total of 27 goals for and dominant home performance, support this outcome. Despite a limited value edge of roughly 8%, the convergence of metrics justifies this selection when seeking optimal value.
90%
prob.
1.2
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
St Patrick's Athl. Win
91% Poisson home advantage and 73% home form
90%
odds 1.2
Double Chance
St Patrick's Athl. or Draw
73% home form and 85% H2H advantage
92%
odds 1.05
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 19 | 66 |
| 2 | Derry City | 36 | 18 | 63 |
| 3 | Shelbourne | 36 | 15 | 59 |
| 4 | Bohemians | 36 | 16 | 54 |
| 5 | St Patrick's Athl. ● | 36 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Drogheda United | 36 | 12 | 51 |
| 7 | Sligo Rovers | 36 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Galway United | 36 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Waterford ● | 36 | 11 | 39 |
| 10 | Cork City | 36 | 4 | 24 |
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