Football
Premier Division Premier Division
· Regular Season - 16
St Patrick's Athl.

St Patrick's Athl.

4–1

Full Time

Waterford

Waterford

🏟 Richmond Park, Dublin
🟡 R. Harvey
📋 Regular Season - 16
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

St Patrick's Athl. Win

3-Way Result

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.2 bookmaker Medium-High Risk

St Patrick's Athl. show overwhelming strength with a 73% home form and an impressive 91% Poisson home advantage. Their head-to-head advantage of 85% and season goal superiority (27 total goals) further support a strong win. Recent H2H results confirm consistent away wins for them, including a 2-0 and a 3-0 victory. The convergence of 64% attacking and 57% defensive comparison metrics emphasizes their dominance. Although cautious, all independent factors align in favor of a home win. This pick is supported by multiple key stats, making it our highest confidence option.

Best Value

St Patrick's Athl. Win

3-Way Result

Considering value, the 3-Way Result pick for a St Patrick's Athl. win holds strong evidence with a 91% home Poisson distribution and 85% head-to-head advantage. The fair odds calculation using a 90% probability implies a fair value around 1.11, while the bookmaker odds of 1.20 offer a modest value edge. Season stats, such as a total of 27 goals for and dominant home performance, support this outcome. Despite a limited value edge of roughly 8%, the convergence of metrics justifies this selection when seeking optimal value.

90%

prob.

1.2

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

St Patrick's Athl. Win

91% Poisson home advantage and 73% home form

90%

odds 1.2

Double Chance

St Patrick's Athl. or Draw

73% home form and 85% H2H advantage

92%

odds 1.05

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

St Patrick's Athl.
St Patrick's Athl.
DWWLL
Waterford
Waterford
DLDLD

Current Standings

3
St Patrick's Athl.
St Patrick's Athl.
19 P 9 W 32 Pts
10
Waterford
Waterford
19 P 1 W 11 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
36 19 66
2
Derry City Derry City
36 18 63
3
Shelbourne Shelbourne
36 15 59
4
Bohemians Bohemians
36 16 54
5
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
36 13 52
6
Drogheda United Drogheda United
36 12 51
7
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
36 11 41
8
Galway United Galway United
36 9 39
9
Waterford Waterford
36 11 39
10
Cork City Cork City
36 4 24
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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