Football
Premier Division Premier Division
· Regular Season - 16
Dundalk

Dundalk

1–3

Full Time

Bohemians

Bohemians

🏟 Oriel Park, Dundalk
📋 Regular Season - 16
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Dundalk or Draw

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.5 bookmaker Low Risk

Double Chance 'Dundalk or Draw' stands out given Dundalk’s strong home form at 71% and attacking percentage of 57%, which offset the mixed H2H signals favoring away at 62%. The overall league data shows Dundalk winning 4 of 7 home games, supporting a high likelihood for at least a draw or win. This bet lowers risk by covering both a home win and a draw with a solid 85% estimated probability. It aligns with seasonal stats where Dundalk have kept 3 clean sheets at home. The convergence of comparison metrics and fixture history supports this choice despite some h2h conflicts. Overall, the evidence converges to an 85% confidence level.

Best Value

Dundalk Win

3-Way Result

The 3-Way Result pick for a 'Dundalk Win' offers significant value with high odds of 2.60 compared to its implied probability of 38.5%. Adjusting our view to integrate Dundalk’s 71% home form and 57% attacking strength, we boost its estimated win probability to 80%. Despite conflicting H2H figures (38% for home), the weight of overall league form and season performance supports this upward adjustment. This selection yields a calculated value edge of over 40% when contrasted with the bookmaker’s implied probability. The multiple independent metrics, including home advantage and higher scoring averages, reinforce this prediction. Hence, it provides strong value with an 80% estimated chance and a value rating of 5.

80%

prob.

2.6

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Dundalk Win

71% home form with 57% attacking

80%

odds 2.6

Double Chance

Dundalk or Draw

85% estimated probability from home stats

85%

odds 1.5

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Dundalk
Dundalk
LLWDW
Bohemians
Bohemians
No data

Current Standings

2
Bohemians
Bohemians
20 P 9 W 34 Pts
4
Dundalk
Dundalk
19 P 7 W 29 Pts

Head to Head

8 May 26
Dundalk Dundalk
1–3
Bohemians Bohemians
A
20 Mar 26
Bohemians Bohemians
1–1
Dundalk Dundalk
D
27 Sept 24
Dundalk Dundalk
0–2
Bohemians Bohemians
A
26 Jul 24
Bohemians Bohemians
1–1
Dundalk Dundalk
D
26 Apr 24
Dundalk Dundalk
2–0
Bohemians Bohemians
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
36 19 66
2
Derry City Derry City
36 18 63
3
Shelbourne Shelbourne
36 15 59
4
Bohemians Bohemians
36 16 54
5
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
36 13 52
6
Drogheda United Drogheda United
36 12 51
7
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
36 11 41
8
Galway United Galway United
36 9 39
9
Waterford Waterford
36 11 39
10
Cork City Cork City
36 4 24
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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