Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 21
Coritiba

Coritiba

vs

Not Started

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

📋 Regular Season - 21
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home/Draw

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Medium Risk

Double Chance is recommended as Coritiba's home side shows a 62% advantage in H2H and a 64% Poisson advantage, with season home stats supporting a safe performance. The form metrics, with 47% (home) vs 53% (away), further tilt the balance in favor of home stability. This convergence of data points (62% and 64%) justifies a high confidence level. We therefore assign an 85% probability, noting minimal risks in this market.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The Under 2.5 goals market exhibits strong value with season stats showing Coritiba’s home under rate at 15 under versus 3 over and Cruzeiro’s away under rate at 16 under versus 2 over. These numbers, along with both teams averaging about 1.3 goals per match, indicate a low-scoring game. With an estimated probability of 85%, the convergence across season and comparison metrics suggests a robust edge. Accordingly, this option is rated with a value edge of 5.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Poisson home advantage at 64%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Home/Draw

H2H home advantage 62% and Poisson 64%

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Coritiba
Coritiba
LLDWD
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
WWDLW

Current Standings

7
Coritiba
Coritiba
18 P 7 W 26 Pts
11
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
18 P 6 W 24 Pts

Head to Head

6 Feb 26
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
1–2
Coritiba Coritiba
A
11 Nov 23
Coritiba Coritiba
1–0
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
H
16 Jul 23
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
0–0
Coritiba Coritiba
D
9 Oct 21
Coritiba Coritiba
0–3
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
A
6 Jul 21
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
0–0
Coritiba Coritiba
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Flamengo Flamengo
38 23 79
2
Palmeiras Palmeiras
38 23 76
3
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
38 19 70
4
Mirassol Mirassol
38 18 67
5
Fluminense Fluminense
38 19 64
6
Botafogo Botafogo
38 17 63
7
Bahia Bahia
38 17 60
8
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
38 14 51
9
Gremio Gremio
38 13 49
10
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
38 14 48
11
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
38 12 48
12
Santos Santos
38 12 47
13
Corinthians Corinthians
38 12 47
14
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
38 13 45
15
Vitoria Vitoria
38 11 45
16
Internacional Internacional
38 11 44
17
Ceara Ceara
38 11 43
18
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
38 11 43
19
Juventude Juventude
38 9 35
20
Sport Recife Sport Recife
38 2 17
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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