Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 21
Botafogo

Botafogo

vs

Not Started

Gremio

Gremio

🏟 Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
📋 Regular Season - 21
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win or Draw

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Low Risk

The double chance market shows strong convergence with Botafogo’s home advantage where comparison metrics favor them with a 58% attacking rate and H2H records indicate a 62% home edge. Season stats underline Botafogo’s reliable performance at home with 3 wins out of 7 fixtures, supporting the Home Win or Draw outcome. Poisson distribution further backs the home team with a 68% probability. This option minimizes risk by covering both a win and a draw scenario and aligns with 85% overall confidence based on our weighted data.

Best Value

Botafogo to Score First

Team to Score First

The Team to Score First market presents a value opportunity as Botafogo’s attacking metrics are compelling, with a 78% attacking performance in their last five and an overall home attack advantage. Historical H2H data shows Botafogo often opening the scoring, and their formation stability reinforces this possibility. With a bookmaker line of 2.0 given, the implied probability is 50%, which creates a substantial value edge when compared to our assessed 82% chance. Despite minor risks inherent in scoring first predictions, the convergence of multiple metrics signals robust value.

82%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Poisson home 68% and H2H home 62%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Home Win or Draw

Home attack 58% and season home wins 3/7

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Botafogo
Botafogo
LDWLW
Gremio
Gremio
No data

Current Standings

12
Botafogo
Botafogo
17 P 6 W 22 Pts
16
Gremio
Gremio
18 P 5 W 21 Pts

Head to Head

5 Feb 26
Gremio Gremio
5–3
Botafogo Botafogo
H
22 Nov 25
Botafogo Botafogo
3–2
Gremio Gremio
H
24 Sept 25
Gremio Gremio
1–1
Botafogo Botafogo
D
29 Sept 24
Botafogo Botafogo
0–0
Gremio Gremio
D
16 Jun 24
Gremio Gremio
1–2
Botafogo Botafogo
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Flamengo Flamengo
38 23 79
2
Palmeiras Palmeiras
38 23 76
3
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
38 19 70
4
Mirassol Mirassol
38 18 67
5
Fluminense Fluminense
38 19 64
6
Botafogo Botafogo
38 17 63
7
Bahia Bahia
38 17 60
8
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
38 14 51
9
Gremio Gremio
38 13 49
10
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
38 14 48
11
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
38 12 48
12
Santos Santos
38 12 47
13
Corinthians Corinthians
38 12 47
14
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
38 13 45
15
Vitoria Vitoria
38 11 45
16
Internacional Internacional
38 11 44
17
Ceara Ceara
38 11 43
18
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
38 11 43
19
Juventude Juventude
38 9 35
20
Sport Recife Sport Recife
38 2 17
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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