Our analysis strongly favors an Away Win, given that the H2H data shows a 100% preference for the away team and comparison metrics favor Mirassol with a 70% advantage in goals and 64% in form. Season stats further reveal Mirassol’s attacking edge over Vasco’s 0.8 goals average at home versus Mirassol’s 1.0 away average. Despite Vasco’s home fixture record of 5 wins in 10, the historical record – with two clear wins by Mirassol in recent matchups – reinforces our pick. The convergence of the H2H (100% away) and comparison (64% vs 36%) data drives our confidence. We maintain a conservative probability of 85% for this outcome. Risk is low given the multiple points of support.