Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 20
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

vs

Not Started

Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

🏟 Allianz Parque, Sao Paulo
📋 Regular Season - 20
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

The combined metrics strongly favor Palmeiras at home with a 93% advantage in head-to-head and a 70% Poisson distribution for home, along with season data showing 60% recent form. These figures support a Home Win despite some mixed H2H halftime results. The season stats also reveal Palmeiras' solid defensive record with only 1 failed-to-score instance. Given the convergence of these multiple independent metrics, we confidently predict a Home Win.

Best Value

Home Win or Draw

Double Chance

The Double Chance market offers a robust value edge with Palmeiras’ 93% H2H advantage and an overall home dominance of 64.7%. Season data further reinforces this with a high clean sheet count and minimal failures to score, adding extra security. Despite some competitive away performances, the evidence converges on a strong home advantage. This selection is appealing in value given its high probability and low risk.

95%

prob.

1.05

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

H2H advantage at 93% and Poisson home at 70%

90%

odds 1.11

Double Chance

Home Win or Draw

Overall home advantage of 64.7% with 93% H2H edge

95%

odds 1.05

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Palmeiras
Palmeiras
WDWDD
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
No data

Current Standings

1
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
18 P 12 W 41 Pts
9
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
18 P 7 W 24 Pts

Head to Head

28 Jan 26
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
2–2
Palmeiras Palmeiras
D
4 Dec 25
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
0–3
Palmeiras Palmeiras
A
20 Jul 25
Palmeiras Palmeiras
3–2
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
H
28 Sept 24
Palmeiras Palmeiras
2–1
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
H
17 Jun 24
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
0–4
Palmeiras Palmeiras
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Flamengo Flamengo
38 23 79
2
Palmeiras Palmeiras
38 23 76
3
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
38 19 70
4
Mirassol Mirassol
38 18 67
5
Fluminense Fluminense
38 19 64
6
Botafogo Botafogo
38 17 63
7
Bahia Bahia
38 17 60
8
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
38 14 51
9
Gremio Gremio
38 13 49
10
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
38 14 48
11
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
38 12 48
12
Santos Santos
38 12 47
13
Corinthians Corinthians
38 12 47
14
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
38 13 45
15
Vitoria Vitoria
38 11 45
16
Internacional Internacional
38 11 44
17
Ceara Ceara
38 11 43
18
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
38 11 43
19
Juventude Juventude
38 9 35
20
Sport Recife Sport Recife
38 2 17
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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