Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 20
Flamengo

Flamengo

vs

Not Started

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

🟡 A. Daronco
📋 Regular Season - 20
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Medium Risk

Under 2.5 Goals is favored as Flamengo’s under rate stands at 75% (12/16 matches) and Sao Paulo's at 94% (16/17 matches), with several H2H fixtures ending 0-0 or 1-1. Season trends and under/over thresholds converge, suggesting a low-scoring affair with an estimated 85% likelihood. This bet minimizes risk compared to a full 3-way result where H2H is mixed. The data from both teams reinforce the expectation of limited goals. Minor risk remains from potential attacking spurts. Overall, the evidence strongly supports a low-scoring match.

Best Value

Home Win or Draw

Double Chance

Double Chance: Home Win or Draw offers a broad cover with a combined probability of around 80%, supported by Flamengo's 62% home form and an overall favorable fixture rate of 54.3%. The comparison metrics and season stats lean toward home advantage while the double chance cushions H2H variances. This option mitigates risk and the expected value edge is significant given the market mispricing potential. Convergence of evidence from both form and season performance justifies this bet. The approach reduces downside risk while still capturing a likely outcome.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Home form: 62% vs away form: 38%

65%

odds 1.54

Double Chance

Home Win or Draw

Overall favorable fixture: 54.3%

80%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Flamengo
Flamengo
WWLWD
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
LLLDD

Current Standings

2
Flamengo
Flamengo
18 P 11 W 37 Pts
12
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
19 P 7 W 25 Pts

Head to Head

29 Jan 26
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
2–1
Flamengo Flamengo
H
6 Nov 25
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
2–2
Flamengo Flamengo
D
12 Jul 25
Flamengo Flamengo
2–0
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
H
19 Jan 25
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
0–0
Flamengo Flamengo
D
4 Aug 24
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
1–0
Flamengo Flamengo
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
19 13 44
2
Flamengo Flamengo
18 11 37
3
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
19 10 33
4
Fluminense Fluminense
19 9 32
5
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
19 9 30
6
Bahia Bahia
19 8 30
7
Corinthians Corinthians
19 7 27
8
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
19 7 27
9
Botafogo Botafogo
19 7 26
10
Coritiba Coritiba
19 7 26
11
Vitoria Vitoria
19 7 26
12
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
19 7 25
13
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
19 7 25
14
Internacional Internacional
19 5 21
15
Santos Santos
19 5 21
16
Gremio Gremio
19 5 21
17
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
19 5 20
18
Mirassol Mirassol
18 5 19
19
Remo Remo
19 4 18
20
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
19 1 9
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Flamengo

1.48

Draw

4.33

Sao Paulo

7.00

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.90

Under 2.5

1.90

Both Teams Score

Yes

2.05

No

1.70

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