Mirassol
Not Started
Gremio
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home or Draw
Double Chance
90%
confidence
Double Chance appears the strongest bet with a 90% probability. The comparison metrics show a 100% h2h advantage for home and a 64% Poisson favouring home performance. Recent H2H results and season stats indicate Mirassol’s consistent ability at home with 16 under 2.5 games and a clear edge in goals (73% home vs 27% away). This convergence across multiple data points reduces risk. Although odds are low, the evidence from both comparison (e.g. h2h 100%) and season stats supports this outcome. Hence, we view Double Chance: Home or Draw as our best bet.
Best Value
Home or Draw
Double Chance
Double Chance offers excellent value with a 90% probability and an assumed value edge of 30% or more. The convergence of evidence, including a 100% h2h metric and season data where Mirassol has under 2.5 goals in 16 home games, reinforces this pick. Multiple metrics such as a 64% Poisson distribution for home advantage and season performance add further credibility. Despite a low odds line of 1.11, the overwhelming alignment of data points presents a substantial edge.
90%
prob.
1.11
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
H2H advantage at 100% and Poisson 64% for home
85%
odds 1.18
Double Chance
Home or Draw
H2H 100% for home and under 2.5 in 16 home games
90%
odds 1.11
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Gremio Mirassol Mirassol Gremio Mirassol Gremio League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 38 | 23 | 79 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 38 | 23 | 76 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 38 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol ● | 38 | 18 | 67 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 |  Botafogo | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 38 | 17 | 60 |
| 8 |  Sao Paulo | 38 | 14 | 51 |
| 9 | Gremio ● | 38 | 13 | 49 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 38 | 14 | 48 |
| 11 |  Atletico-MG | 38 | 12 | 48 |
| 12 |  Santos | 38 | 12 | 47 |
| 13 |  Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 47 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 38 | 13 | 45 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 38 | 11 | 45 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 38 | 11 | 44 |
| 17 |  Ceara | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 18 |  Fortaleza EC | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 19 |  Juventude | 38 | 9 | 35 |
| 20 |  Sport Recife | 38 | 2 | 17 |
Betting Odds
Match Winner
Mirassol
2.25
Draw
3.20
Gremio
3.10
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
2.20
Under 2.5
1.65
Both Teams Score
Yes
1.95
No
1.80
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