Atletico-MG
Not Started
Bahia
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Atletico-MG or Draw
Double Chance
80%
confidence
Our analysis favors a safer pick on Double Chance due to Atletico-MG's strong home attributes. Their home form is at 67% and defensive strength is 69%, which has contributed to 6 wins in 10 head-to-head matches against Bahia. The risk is lowered by the fact that even in losses, Atletico has shown resilience and consistency. This conservative approach is further supported by season data where Atletico secured 4 clean sheets and only 1 failed-to-score at home. Although conflicting metrics exist in the goals comparison, overall data indicate Atletico-MG’s reliability in avoiding a loss. This bet is chosen to hedge against uncertainties while still capitalizing on the home advantage.
Best Value
Atletico-MG Win
3-Way Result
The best value pick here is a 3-Way Result on an Atletico-MG win. With a home form of 67% and a defensive rating of 69% compared to Bahia’s 33% and 31%, Atletico-MG shows a significant edge. Additionally, in head-to-head matchups, Atletico-MG recorded 6 wins out of 10 encounters, bolstering confidence in a home victory. Despite some mixed signals in the goals comparison, multiple independent metrics converge in favor of the home side. The implied probability from the bookmaker odds is around 47.6%, offering a strong value edge given our estimated 82% probability. This convergence of evidence provides a compelling value opportunity, though slight risk remains due to occasional conflicting indicators.
82%
prob.
2.1
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Atletico-MG Win
67% home form
82%
odds 2.1
Double Chance
Atletico-MG or Draw
69% defensive rating at home
80%
odds 1.3
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Head to Head
Atletico-MG Bahia Bahia Atletico-MG Bahia Atletico-MG Atletico-MG Bahia Bahia Atletico-MG +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 38 | 23 | 79 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 38 | 23 | 76 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 38 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 |  Mirassol | 38 | 18 | 67 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 |  Botafogo | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Bahia ● | 38 | 17 | 60 |
| 8 |  Sao Paulo | 38 | 14 | 51 |
| 9 |  Gremio | 38 | 13 | 49 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 38 | 14 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG ● | 38 | 12 | 48 |
| 12 |  Santos | 38 | 12 | 47 |
| 13 |  Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 47 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 38 | 13 | 45 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 38 | 11 | 45 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 38 | 11 | 44 |
| 17 |  Ceara | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 18 |  Fortaleza EC | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 19 |  Juventude | 38 | 9 | 35 |
| 20 |  Sport Recife | 38 | 2 | 17 |
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