Vitoria
Full Time
Internacional
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Vitoria Win
3-Way Result
75%
confidence
Our analysis leans towards a 3-Way Result of a Vitoria Win, given a strong H2H favoring home with 60% compared to 40% for Internacional and a Poisson distribution indicating 72% home advantage. Season data shows Vitoria winning 5 out of 7 home games and maintaining 5 clean sheets. However, Vitoria’s recent form of 38% adds some caution. The combination of H2H and season stats provides credible support. We remain conservative due to conflicting attacking and defensive percentages. Overall, the evidence converges moderately on a Vitoria win.
Best Value
Vitoria or Draw
Double Chance
The optimal value pick is the Double Chance market with Vitoria or Draw, which benefits from Vitoria’s strong home season record and high clean sheet rate. Vitoria’s home fixtures show 5 wins out of 7 and 5 clean sheets, reinforcing defensive solidity. The converging evidence from H2H and season data is promising despite some lower form percentages. The bookmaker line of 1.53 offers a favorable edge when we assign a 90% probability. This implies a value edge of approximately 37%, which is significant. Caution remains due to mixed attacking stats.
90%
prob.
1.53
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Vitoria Win
H2H home advantage 60% and season home wins 5/7
75%
odds 3
Double Chance
Vitoria or Draw
Vitoria clean sheet 5/7 and season wins 5/7
90%
odds 1.53
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 38 | 23 | 79 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 38 | 23 | 76 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 38 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 |  Mirassol | 38 | 18 | 67 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 |  Botafogo | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 38 | 17 | 60 |
| 8 |  Sao Paulo | 38 | 14 | 51 |
| 9 |  Gremio | 38 | 13 | 49 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 38 | 14 | 48 |
| 11 |  Atletico-MG | 38 | 12 | 48 |
| 12 |  Santos | 38 | 12 | 47 |
| 13 |  Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 47 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 38 | 13 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitoria ● | 38 | 11 | 45 |
| 16 | Internacional ● | 38 | 11 | 44 |
| 17 |  Ceara | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 18 |  Fortaleza EC | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 19 |  Juventude | 38 | 9 | 35 |
| 20 |  Sport Recife | 38 | 2 | 17 |
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