Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 17
Mirassol

Mirassol

1–0

Full Time

Fluminense

Fluminense

🏟 Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol
🟡 Savio Pereira Sampaio, Brazil
📋 Regular Season - 17
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Fluminense or Draw

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Low Risk

Double Chance for Fluminense or Draw is our highest confidence bet with 85% probability. Comparison metrics show Fluminense with 59% form against Mirassol’s 41%, and Fluminense’s last-5 form register at 67% compared to Mirassol’s 47%. The season stats back this with Fluminense’s strong attacking record (1.8 goals average) and better defending (only 1 failed-to-score instance compared to 5 for Mirassol). H2H evidence is split but the overall season and recent performance favor the away side. Multiple independent metrics converge on this outcome, though the close head-to-head results add a slight risk. Overall, the indicators justify an 85% confidence level.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The value edge is most apparent in the Goals Over/Under market, specifically predicting Under 2.5 goals with an 85% probability. Mirassol’s league data indicates under 2.5 in 15 matches and Fluminense’s under record is also strong with 13 under results. Comparison metrics and season stats emphasize a tighter game with limited scoring chances. Despite a slight risk inherent in low-scoring predictions, the convergence of evidence and strong statistical backing offer significant value. Overall, the significant over-performance in under 2.5 goals, supported by a value edge exceeding 30%, makes this option compelling.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Fluminense Win

Fluminense last-5 form at 67% vs Mirassol at 47%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Fluminense or Draw

Fluminense form 67% (last-5) vs Mirassol 47%

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Mirassol
Mirassol
WDWWW
Fluminense
Fluminense
No data

Head to Head

23 May 26
Mirassol Mirassol
1–0
Fluminense Fluminense
H
6 Nov 25
Fluminense Fluminense
1–0
Mirassol Mirassol
H
9 Oct 25
Mirassol Mirassol
2–1
Fluminense Fluminense
H

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Flamengo Flamengo
38 23 79
2
Palmeiras Palmeiras
38 23 76
3
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
38 19 70
4
Mirassol Mirassol
38 18 67
5
Fluminense Fluminense
38 19 64
6
Botafogo Botafogo
38 17 63
7
Bahia Bahia
38 17 60
8
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
38 14 51
9
Gremio Gremio
38 13 49
10
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
38 14 48
11
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
38 12 48
12
Santos Santos
38 12 47
13
Corinthians Corinthians
38 12 47
14
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
38 13 45
15
Vitoria Vitoria
38 11 45
16
Internacional Internacional
38 11 44
17
Ceara Ceara
38 11 43
18
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
38 11 43
19
Juventude Juventude
38 9 35
20
Sport Recife Sport Recife
38 2 17
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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