Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 17
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

2–1

Full Time

Chapecoense-sc

Chapecoense-sc

🏟 Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte
🟡 Flavio Rodrigues De Souza, Brazil
📋 Regular Season - 17
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Cruzeiro Win

3-Way Result

92%

confidence

Odds: 1.36 bookmaker Low Risk

Our analysis strongly favors Cruzeiro to win with multiple metrics in agreement. The comparison data shows a 91% home form and 75% Poisson advantage, while H2H history indicates a 62% success for Cruzeiro, supporting the selection. Season stats add confidence with Cruzeiro scoring an average of 1.6 at home and registering 3 clean sheets. Additionally, the bookmaker odds for a Cruzeiro win in the 3-Way market are at 1.36, reinforcing the low-risk profile of this bet. Evidence from both provider comparisons and season performance converges on Cruzeiro's superiority. However, as with all predictions, there remains some inherent match unpredictability.

Best Value

Cruzeiro Win

3-Way Result

The best value option remains the 3-Way Result on a Cruzeiro win, with converging support from multiple metrics. Cruzeiro’s 91% home form and 75% Poisson percentage, combined with a 62% H2H advantage, point to a strong likelihood of a win. Season details such as 13 home goals and 3 clean sheets add further support. Although the implied probability from odds 1.36 is about 73.5%, the overall confidence is around 92%, resulting in an approximate value edge of 18%, which is the best available option in this set. The bet carries a Medium-High risk level due to the moderate value edge despite a high win probability. Hence, it offers the optimal balance of risk and reward.

92%

prob.

1.36

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Cruzeiro Win

Home form 91% vs. Away form 9%

92%

odds 1.36

Double Chance

Cruzeiro or Draw

91% form and 75% Poisson for home

94%

odds 1.08

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
WWDLW
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc
LWDWL

Current Standings

11
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
18 P 6 W 24 Pts
20
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc
17 P 1 W 9 Pts

Head to Head

24 May 26
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
2–1
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
H
13 Aug 22
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
1–1
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
D
30 Apr 22
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
0–2
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
A
25 Nov 20
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
0–1
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
A
21 Aug 20
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
0–1
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Flamengo Flamengo
38 23 79
2
Palmeiras Palmeiras
38 23 76
3
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
38 19 70
4
Mirassol Mirassol
38 18 67
5
Fluminense Fluminense
38 19 64
6
Botafogo Botafogo
38 17 63
7
Bahia Bahia
38 17 60
8
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
38 14 51
9
Gremio Gremio
38 13 49
10
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
38 14 48
11
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
38 12 48
12
Santos Santos
38 12 47
13
Corinthians Corinthians
38 12 47
14
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
38 13 45
15
Vitoria Vitoria
38 11 45
16
Internacional Internacional
38 11 44
17
Ceara Ceara
38 11 43
18
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
38 11 43
19
Juventude Juventude
38 9 35
20
Sport Recife Sport Recife
38 2 17
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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