Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 17
Corinthians

Corinthians

1–0

Full Time

Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

🏟 Neo Química Arena, Sao Paulo
🟡 Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil
📋 Regular Season - 17
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Corinthians or Draw

Double Chance

78%

confidence

Odds: 1.17 bookmaker Low Risk

Corinthians’ strong home defensive record (56% def vs Atletico’s 44%) and 6 clean sheets compared to Atletico’s 3 make the double chance option compelling. The head-to-head record shows a split with Corinthians winning 4 out of 10 matches. Season data further highlights a defensive edge with Corinthians failing to score in fewer matches overall. Home advantage and defensive solidity consolidate the attractiveness of the 'Corinthians or Draw' outcome. With balanced comparison metrics and conservative evidence, this pick is estimated at a 78% probability. However, the balanced attacking stats call for moderate caution.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The under 2.5 goals market shows a significant statistical edge with Corinthians recording 15 under outcomes and Atletico-MG 14 under outcomes. Season data for both teams—where Corinthians have 15 under vs 1 over and Atletico 14 under vs 2 over for 2.5 goals—underscores a dominant low scoring trend. Historical head-to-head results with multiple 0-0 and 1-1 draws further reinforce this expectation. This convergence of season and comparison metrics provides a robust value edge, estimated at a 90% probability. Despite inherent risks in predicting total goals, the consistency across metrics is compelling.

90%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Corinthians Win

Corinthians 4 wins in 10 H2H (40%)

65%

odds 1.75

Double Chance

Corinthians or Draw

6 clean sheets (total)

78%

odds 1.17

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Corinthians
Corinthians
WWDLW
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
No data

Current Standings

9
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
18 P 7 W 24 Pts
10
Corinthians
Corinthians
18 P 6 W 24 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Flamengo Flamengo
38 23 79
2
Palmeiras Palmeiras
38 23 76
3
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
38 19 70
4
Mirassol Mirassol
38 18 67
5
Fluminense Fluminense
38 19 64
6
Botafogo Botafogo
38 17 63
7
Bahia Bahia
38 17 60
8
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
38 14 51
9
Gremio Gremio
38 13 49
10
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
38 14 48
11
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
38 12 48
12
Santos Santos
38 12 47
13
Corinthians Corinthians
38 12 47
14
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
38 13 45
15
Vitoria Vitoria
38 11 45
16
Internacional Internacional
38 11 44
17
Ceara Ceara
38 11 43
18
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
38 11 43
19
Juventude Juventude
38 9 35
20
Sport Recife Sport Recife
38 2 17
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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