Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 16
Bahia

Bahia

1–1

Full Time

Gremio

Gremio

🏟 Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
🟡 Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho, Brazil
📋 Regular Season - 16
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Bahia Win

3-Way Result

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.73 bookmaker Medium-High Risk

The 3-Way Result pick for Bahia Win shows strong convergence: Bahia's attack is 88% compared to Gremio's 13% and their Poisson rate stands at 73% for home versus 27% away. H2H further supports this with a 60% favoring Bahia, and season goals (78% for home) reinforce the edge. Bahia's overall metrics and home advantage push our confidence to 85% despite some variability in form. This selection carries a Medium-High risk given inherent football uncertainties. The evidence from attack and scoring percentage provides a solid base. It is our highest confidence call.

Best Value

Bahia Win

3-Way Result

The value edge is clearest with the 3-Way Result on a Bahia Win, where odds of 1.73 combined with an 85% probability yield a calculated value edge of approximately 47%. Key metrics including an 88% attacking strength versus Gremio's 13%, and a Poisson distribution of 73% for home, support this. H2H records also lean 60% in Bahia's favor. Despite the match’s inherent risks, the statistical convergence justifies a High value rating.

85%

prob.

1.73

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Bahia Win

Bahia att 88% vs Gremio att 13%

85%

odds 1.73

Double Chance

Bahia or Draw

H2H home 60% advantage for Bahia

82%

odds 1.2

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Bahia
Bahia
DDLLW
Gremio
Gremio
No data

Current Standings

6
Bahia
Bahia
17 P 7 W 26 Pts
16
Gremio
Gremio
18 P 5 W 21 Pts

Head to Head

17 May 26
Bahia Bahia
1–1
Gremio Gremio
D
19 Oct 25
Bahia Bahia
4–0
Gremio Gremio
H
25 May 25
Gremio Gremio
1–0
Bahia Bahia
H
17 Aug 24
Gremio Gremio
0–2
Bahia Bahia
A
28 Apr 24
Bahia Bahia
1–0
Gremio Gremio
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Flamengo Flamengo
38 23 79
2
Palmeiras Palmeiras
38 23 76
3
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
38 19 70
4
Mirassol Mirassol
38 18 67
5
Fluminense Fluminense
38 19 64
6
Botafogo Botafogo
38 17 63
7
Bahia Bahia
38 17 60
8
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
38 14 51
9
Gremio Gremio
38 13 49
10
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
38 14 48
11
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
38 12 48
12
Santos Santos
38 12 47
13
Corinthians Corinthians
38 12 47
14
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
38 13 45
15
Vitoria Vitoria
38 11 45
16
Internacional Internacional
38 11 44
17
Ceara Ceara
38 11 43
18
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
38 11 43
19
Juventude Juventude
38 9 35
20
Sport Recife Sport Recife
38 2 17
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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