Football
Liga Profesional Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina
· Apertura - 9
Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

1–1

Full Time

Newells Old Boys

Newells Old Boys

🏟 Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires
🟡 Luis Lobo Medina, Argentina
📋 Apertura - 9
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Velez Sarsfield or Draw

Double Chance

75%

confidence

Odds: 1.14 bookmaker Medium Risk

The double chance bet 'Velez Sarsfield or Draw' aggregates evidence from multiple sources: the poisson metric gives a 71% favor for the home side and H2H shows a 60% home advantage, despite Velez’s recent form being just 33%. Season stats also highlight 3 home clean sheets, bolstering defensive reliability. This coverage minimizes risk while still capitalizing on Velez’s overall edge in key metrics. However, caution is warranted given the conflicting recent form. Overall, the data converges moderately well for this safer option.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The 'Under 2.5' goals market stands out with strong season and comparison support. Velez’s league under_over record shows 15 under outcomes, and Newells has 13 under outcomes, clearly favoring a low-scoring match. Combined with season averages of 1.1 for Velez and 0.9 for Newells, we see a robust 90% probability for under 2.5. This consistent convergence across metrics gives a significant value edge. Though risk is low, the conservative data set confirms its optimal value.

90%

prob.

1.11

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Velez Sarsfield Win

60% H2H and 71% Poisson favor for home

65%

odds 1.7

Double Chance

Velez Sarsfield or Draw

71% Poisson and 3 home clean sheets

75%

odds 1.14

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
WWLLW
Newells Old Boys
Newells Old Boys
LWLDL

Current Standings

3
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
16 P 7 W 28 Pts
14
Newells Old Boys
Newells Old Boys
16 P 3 W 15 Pts
6
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
16 P 7 W 28 Pts
26
Newells Old Boys
Newells Old Boys
16 P 3 W 15 Pts
3
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
89 P 0 W 144 Pts
26
Newells Old Boys
Newells Old Boys
89 P 0 W 97 Pts

Head to Head

4 May 26
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
1–1
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
D
21 May 24
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
1–0
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
H
3 Feb 23
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
1–0
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
H
3 Sept 22
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
0–1
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
A
9 Oct 21
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
1–2
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
16 8 29
2
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
16 6 25
3
Racing Club Racing Club
16 7 25
4
Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago
16 5 24
5
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS
16 7 24
6
Barracas Central Barracas Central
16 5 23
7
Tigre Tigre
16 5 22
8
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
16 6 21
9
Banfield Banfield
16 6 21
10
Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba
16 4 20
11
Huracan Huracan
16 5 20
12
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
16 5 19
13
Aldosivi Aldosivi
16 5 18
14
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia
16 3 16
15
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
16 3 14
1
Rosario Central Rosario Central
16 8 31
2
Lanus Lanus
16 9 30
3
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
16 8 28
4
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
16 7 26
5
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
16 6 24
6
River Plate River Plate
16 6 22
7
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
16 7 22
8
Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba
16 5 21
9
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
16 5 20
10
San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J.
16 4 19
11
Independiente Independiente
16 4 18
12
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
16 5 18
13
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba
16 3 16
14
Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz
16 1 12
15
Platense Platense
16 2 12
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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