Football
Major League Soccer Major League Soccer
· Regular Season - 18
Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union

vs

Not Started

Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC

🏟 Subaru Park, Philadelphia
📋 Regular Season - 18
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

75%

confidence

Odds: 1.33 calculated Medium-High Risk

The 3-Way Result prediction for a Home Win is supported by strong comparison metrics; Philadelphia Union holds a 67% form and 75% attack advantage compared to Atlanta's 33% form and 25% attack. The h2h metrics further indicate a 62% home edge while detailed season stats show Philadelphia’s ability to score (2.4 goals per game) despite conceding 2.8 on average. H2H results reveal that Philadelphia has won 5 out of 9 recent meetings, bolstering this pick. The seasonal figures and comparison percentages align to suggest a higher likelihood for a Home Win. However, there are moderate risks given mixed recent form trends. Overall, the convergence of a 67% form metric and 62% h2h home advantage gives us a 75% probability for this outcome.

Best Value

Home

Team to Score First

The best value option is the Team to Score First bet on the Home team. Philadelphia’s season data and comparison metrics show they tend to strike early, with home goals often occurring in the early minutes (e.g. 14.29% in the 0-15 minute window). Additionally, their overall 67% form and a 62% h2h home advantage suggest a likelihood to open the scoring. This pick carries an 80% probability and offers a strong value proposition when compared to average market pricing. Although there is some risk, the convergence of early scoring stats and robust home metrics supports this selection. With a value rating of 5 indicating a substantial edge, this bet meets the criteria for the best optimal option.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

67% form advantage

75%

odds 1.33

Double Chance

Home or Draw

75% attack versus 25% away

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
LDLDD
Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC
DLWWW

Current Standings

14
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
17 P 3 W 13 Pts
15
Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC
17 P 3 W 12 Pts
🏀 🎾 🏈

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