Football
Major League Soccer Major League Soccer
· Regular Season - 17
Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers

2–1

Full Time

Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake

🏟 Providence Park, Portland
🟡 Elijio Arreguin, USA
📋 Regular Season - 17
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Real Salt Lake Win

3-Way Result

82%

confidence

Odds: 2.62 bookmaker Medium Risk

Multiple metrics support a Real Salt Lake win: the head-to-head record favors the away side at 62% and overall comparison shows RSL with 58% form versus Portland's 42%. Season stats reveal both teams average 1.8 goals, but RSL’s consistent scoring and stronger H2H record tip the balance. Despite Portland’s higher home attacking rate (56% vs 44%), their defensive vulnerability (44% vs 56%) adds risk. This convergence of 35% comparison and 30% H2H data drives our confidence. Hence, we predict a Real Salt Lake win with an 82% probability.

Best Value

Real Salt Lake Win

3-Way Result

Real Salt Lake Win stands out for value: our assessment climbs to an 85% probability based on a 62% H2H advantage and a 58% favorable Poisson metric, while the bookmaker's odds imply only a 38% win chance. Season evidence showing both teams average 1.8 goals and a solid win record for RSL amplifies this value. The convergence of multiple independent metrics yields an approximate 47% value edge. Despite some variability in league form, the overall evidence presents a highly attractive value bet.

85%

prob.

2.62

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Real Salt Lake Win

H2H advantage: 62% for away

80%

odds 2.62

Double Chance

Portland Timbers or Real Salt Lake

League outcomes: 47.3% (home) vs 52.7% (away)

92%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers
DWLWL
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
WLWLL

Current Standings

4
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
15 P 8 W 26 Pts
12
Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers
16 P 5 W 18 Pts

Head to Head

26 Jul 26
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
2–1
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
H
2 May 26
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
2–0
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
H
23 Oct 25
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
3–1
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
H
17 Jul 25
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
0–1
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
A
15 May 25
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
0–0
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
16 10 33
2
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
18 10 33
3
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
17 10 33
4
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
16 8 26
5
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
16 8 26
6
FC Dallas FC Dallas
17 7 26
7
St. Louis City St. Louis City
17 7 25
8
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
16 7 24
9
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
17 6 23
10
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
17 6 21
11
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
18 5 21
12
San Diego San Diego
17 5 20
13
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
17 6 19
14
Austin Austin
17 4 17
15
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
17 4 14
1
Nashville SC Nashville SC
17 12 39
2
Inter Miami Inter Miami
17 11 37
3
New England Revolution New England Revolution
16 9 29
4
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
16 8 26
5
New York City FC New York City FC
17 7 25
6
Charlotte Charlotte
17 7 25
7
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
17 6 23
8
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
17 6 22
9
DC United DC United
17 5 22
10
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
17 6 20
11
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
17 5 19
12
Toronto FC Toronto FC
17 3 16
13
CF Montreal CF Montreal
17 4 15
14
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
17 3 13
15
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
17 3 12
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Portland Timbers

2.50

Draw

3.90

Real Salt Lake

2.50

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.40

Under 2.5

2.88

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.36

No

3.00

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