Philadelphia Union
Not Started
Seattle Sounders
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Away Win
3-Way Result
80%
confidence
The evidence heavily favors an Away Win as the best bet. Comparison metrics show Seattle Sounders with a 71% form and 78% Poisson advantage over Philadelphia Union's 29% form and 22% Poisson. H2H results are mixed but the latest match saw Seattle win 3-2 at Philadelphia. Season stats also highlight Philadelphia's poor home scoring record with only 0.5 goals per game. Given these converging factors, we assign an 80% probability while noting some residual risk from mixed head-to-head outcomes.
Best Value
Under 2.5
Goals Over/Under
A strong value edge is seen on the Goals Over/Under market with a prediction of Under 2.5 goals. Philadelphia Union’s home under record (12 under vs 3 over) and Seattle Sounders’ similar trend (11 under vs 2 over) support this outcome. Comparison metrics and season stats align to suggest a low-scoring match with an 80% probability. Although head-to-head games have had varied scores, the overall defensive records indicate a safe Under bet. This convergence of evidence provides significant value with a 30%+ edge.
80%
prob.
1.25
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Away Win
Away form 71% & Poisson 78%
80%
odds 1.25
Double Chance
Away or Draw
Home form 29% vs. 7 wins in 13 fixtures for Seattle
85%
odds 1.18
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Diego | 34 | 19 | 63 |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 18 | 63 |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 34 | 17 | 60 |
| 4 |  Minnesota United FC | 34 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders ● | 34 | 15 | 55 |
| 6 |  Austin | 34 | 13 | 47 |
| 7 |  FC Dallas | 34 | 11 | 44 |
| 8 |  Portland Timbers | 34 | 11 | 44 |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 34 | 12 | 41 |
| 10 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 11 | 41 |
| 11 |  Colorado Rapids | 34 | 11 | 41 |
| 12 |  Houston Dynamo | 34 | 9 | 37 |
| 13 |  St. Louis City | 34 | 8 | 32 |
| 14 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 7 | 30 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 7 | 28 |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union ● | 34 | 20 | 66 |
| 2 |  FC Cincinnati | 34 | 20 | 65 |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 34 | 19 | 65 |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 34 | 19 | 59 |
| 5 |  New York City FC | 34 | 17 | 56 |
| 6 |  Nashville SC | 34 | 16 | 54 |
| 7 |  Columbus Crew | 34 | 14 | 54 |
| 8 |  Chicago Fire | 34 | 15 | 53 |
| 9 |  Orlando City SC | 34 | 14 | 53 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 34 | 12 | 43 |
| 11 |  New England Revolution | 34 | 9 | 36 |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 34 | 6 | 32 |
| 13 |  CF Montreal | 34 | 6 | 28 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 34 | 5 | 28 |
| 15 |  DC United | 34 | 5 | 26 |
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