Football
Major League Soccer Major League Soccer
· Regular Season - 17
Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union

1–0

Full Time

Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders

🏟 Subaru Park, Chester
🟡 T. Ford
📋 Regular Season - 17
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium Risk

The evidence heavily favors an Away Win as the best bet. Comparison metrics show Seattle Sounders with a 71% form and 78% Poisson advantage over Philadelphia Union's 29% form and 22% Poisson. H2H results are mixed but the latest match saw Seattle win 3-2 at Philadelphia. Season stats also highlight Philadelphia's poor home scoring record with only 0.5 goals per game. Given these converging factors, we assign an 80% probability while noting some residual risk from mixed head-to-head outcomes.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

A strong value edge is seen on the Goals Over/Under market with a prediction of Under 2.5 goals. Philadelphia Union’s home under record (12 under vs 3 over) and Seattle Sounders’ similar trend (11 under vs 2 over) support this outcome. Comparison metrics and season stats align to suggest a low-scoring match with an 80% probability. Although head-to-head games have had varied scores, the overall defensive records indicate a safe Under bet. This convergence of evidence provides significant value with a 30%+ edge.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

Away form 71% & Poisson 78%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Away or Draw

Home form 29% vs. 7 wins in 13 fixtures for Seattle

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
LDLDD
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders
WDDWW

Current Standings

8
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders
16 P 7 W 24 Pts
14
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
17 P 3 W 13 Pts

Head to Head

25 Jul 26
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
1–0
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
H
1 May 24
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
2–3
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
A
18 May 19
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
0–0
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
D
20 Sept 18
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
0–1
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
A
1 Oct 17
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
2–0
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
16 10 33
2
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
18 10 33
3
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
17 10 33
4
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
16 8 26
5
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
16 8 26
6
FC Dallas FC Dallas
17 7 26
7
St. Louis City St. Louis City
17 7 25
8
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
16 7 24
9
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
17 6 23
10
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
17 6 21
11
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
18 5 21
12
San Diego San Diego
17 5 20
13
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
17 6 19
14
Austin Austin
17 4 17
15
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
17 4 14
1
Nashville SC Nashville SC
17 12 39
2
Inter Miami Inter Miami
17 11 37
3
New England Revolution New England Revolution
16 9 29
4
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
16 8 26
5
New York City FC New York City FC
17 7 25
6
Charlotte Charlotte
17 7 25
7
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
17 6 23
8
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
17 6 22
9
DC United DC United
17 5 22
10
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
17 6 20
11
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
17 5 19
12
Toronto FC Toronto FC
17 3 16
13
CF Montreal CF Montreal
17 4 15
14
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
17 3 13
15
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
17 3 12
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Philadelphia Union

1.80

Draw

3.90

Seattle Sounders

4.20

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.57

Under 2.5

2.35

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.53

No

2.38

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