Football
Major League Soccer Major League Soccer
· Regular Season - 17
St. Louis City

St. Louis City

vs

Not Started

Sporting Kansas City

Sporting Kansas City

🏟 CITYPARK
📋 Regular Season - 17
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

78%

confidence

Odds: 1.28 calculated Medium Risk

The evidence strongly favours St. Louis City to secure a home win with multiple metrics aligning: their form stands at 59% compared to 41% for Sporting Kansas City and the Poisson distribution offers an 83% edge. Their strong defensive record (73% in comparison) coupled with a solid home attack (1.8 goals per game) reinforce this view despite balanced H2H data. The last-5 stats showing a 67% form for City against a 47% for KC further support a home win. However, some risk persists due to mixed historical head-to-head outcomes. Hence, this pick carries a cautious 78% confidence level.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

Value analysis indicates a strong edge in the Goals Over/Under market with an Under 2.5 pick. Both teams exhibit tendencies towards low-scoring affairs with City recording an under in 12 out of 14 home fixtures and Sporting in 13 out of 14 away fixtures. Comparison metrics and seasonal under/over data support a low-scoring match. Despite usual scoring variability seen in H2H results, the convergence of season stats and last-5 performance makes this a compelling value option at high probability.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Home form at 59% vs away 41%

78%

odds 1.28

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Last-5 form 67% for City vs 47% for KC

80%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

St. Louis City
St. Louis City
No data
Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
No data

Current Standings

12
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
14 P 4 W 16 Pts
15
Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
14 P 3 W 11 Pts

Head to Head

15 May 25
St. Louis City St. Louis City
2–2
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
D
6 Apr 25
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
2–0
St. Louis City St. Louis City
H
29 Sept 24
St. Louis City St. Louis City
3–1
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
H
21 Jul 24
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
1–1
St. Louis City St. Louis City
D
21 Apr 24
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
3–3
St. Louis City St. Louis City
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
San Diego San Diego
34 19 63
2
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
34 18 63
3
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
34 17 60
4
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
34 16 58
5
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
34 15 55
6
Austin Austin
34 13 47
7
FC Dallas FC Dallas
34 11 44
8
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
34 11 44
9
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
34 12 41
10
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
34 11 41
11
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
34 11 41
12
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
34 9 37
13
St. Louis City St. Louis City
34 8 32
14
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
34 7 30
15
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
34 7 28
1
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
34 20 66
2
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
34 20 65
3
Inter Miami Inter Miami
34 19 65
4
Charlotte Charlotte
34 19 59
5
New York City FC New York City FC
34 17 56
6
Nashville SC Nashville SC
34 16 54
7
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
34 14 54
8
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
34 15 53
9
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
34 14 53
10
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
34 12 43
11
New England Revolution New England Revolution
34 9 36
12
Toronto FC Toronto FC
34 6 32
13
CF Montreal CF Montreal
34 6 28
14
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
34 5 28
15
DC United DC United
34 5 26
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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