St. Louis City
Full Time
Austin
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
St. Louis City
Home/Away
80%
confidence
St. Louis City shows a slight edge with a home Poisson distribution of 64% compared to Austin’s 36%, and the head-to-head data favors the home side with 60% over 40%. The home team also wins 5 out of 8 past encounters, supporting a solid home advantage. Season stats indicate a balanced performance but with St. Louis City’s sturdy defense (56% vs 44% in opponents’ defense) favoring them. Given these converging signals, the Home/Away market appears highly reliable despite some variability in recent form. The risk remains medium given the competitive nature of both teams. Overall, we assign an 80% probability for a St. Louis City win in the Home/Away market.
Best Value
St. Louis City Win
3-Way Result
The 3-Way Result market offers significant value with bookmaker odds of 1.67, while our data supports a home win. St. Louis City has won 5 of 8 head-to-head matches and the Poisson comparison gives them a 64% edge at home, which when combined with a 60% h2h favorability boosts confidence. Our assigned probability of 85% exceeds the implied 60% probability from the odds, yielding a value edge well above 30%. Season statistics also lean towards the home side despite mixed attacking figures. Evidence from multiple independent metrics aligns in favor of a home victory with a compelling margin. This option presents a robust value pick with managed risk.
85%
prob.
1.67
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
St. Louis City Win
Home Poisson: 64% and 5 wins out of 8 H2H matches
85%
odds 1.67
Double Chance
St. Louis City or Draw
H2H: 60% for home and 5/8 wins
78%
odds 1.18
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
St. Louis City Austin Austin St. Louis City St. Louis City Austin Austin St. Louis City St. Louis City Austin +4 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Diego | 34 | 19 | 63 |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 18 | 63 |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 34 | 17 | 60 |
| 4 |  Minnesota United FC | 34 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 |  Seattle Sounders | 34 | 15 | 55 |
| 6 | Austin ● | 34 | 13 | 47 |
| 7 |  FC Dallas | 34 | 11 | 44 |
| 8 |  Portland Timbers | 34 | 11 | 44 |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 34 | 12 | 41 |
| 10 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 11 | 41 |
| 11 |  Colorado Rapids | 34 | 11 | 41 |
| 12 |  Houston Dynamo | 34 | 9 | 37 |
| 13 | St. Louis City ● | 34 | 8 | 32 |
| 14 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 7 | 30 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 7 | 28 |
| 1 |  Philadelphia Union | 34 | 20 | 66 |
| 2 |  FC Cincinnati | 34 | 20 | 65 |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 34 | 19 | 65 |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 34 | 19 | 59 |
| 5 |  New York City FC | 34 | 17 | 56 |
| 6 |  Nashville SC | 34 | 16 | 54 |
| 7 |  Columbus Crew | 34 | 14 | 54 |
| 8 |  Chicago Fire | 34 | 15 | 53 |
| 9 |  Orlando City SC | 34 | 14 | 53 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 34 | 12 | 43 |
| 11 |  New England Revolution | 34 | 9 | 36 |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 34 | 6 | 32 |
| 13 |  CF Montreal | 34 | 6 | 28 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 34 | 5 | 28 |
| 15 |  DC United | 34 | 5 | 26 |
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