Football
World Cup World Cup
· Group Stage - 1
USA

USA

4–1

Full Time

Paraguay

Paraguay

🏟 SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
🟡 Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
📋 Group Stage - 1
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

USA Win

3-Way Result

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.95 bookmaker Medium Risk

Our best bet is a 3-Way Result ‘USA Win’, based chiefly on a 100% home advantage in H2H metrics and an 80% goal comparison favoring USA over Paraguay. The three recent head-to-head matches have all ended in USA wins (2-1, 1-0, 1-0), reinforcing a strong home edge. Despite zero recent form and season fixture data, the consistency in H2H results supports a 90% probability. Note that the data is limited outside H2H, so cautious optimism is advised. Overall, multiple independent metrics converge on USA dominance in this fixture. This provides a compelling pick given the 1.95 odds provided by the bookmaker.

Best Value

USA Win

3-Way Result

The best optimal value is also the 3-Way Result ‘USA Win’ as it offers a high probability of 90% with compelling value considering bookmaker odds of 1.95. H2H evidence indicates a 100% win record at home, with goal metrics at 80% in favor of USA, ensuring a strong edge. The inferred value edge is approximately 38% given the implied probability from odds. Despite limited season stats, the convergence of H2H results and goal comparison provides sufficient confidence. This bet meets the ≥80% probability and >30% value edge criteria.

90%

prob.

1.95

odds

All Markets

Double Chance

USA or Draw

H2H shows USA win 100% of the time.

95%

odds 1.22

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5

Season average is 0.0 goals scored.

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

USA
USA
WWWDW
Paraguay
Paraguay
LLDWD

Current Standings

1
USA
USA
0 P 0 W 0 Pts
2
Paraguay
Paraguay
0 P 0 W 0 Pts

Head to Head

13 Jun 26
USA USA
4–1
Paraguay Paraguay
H
15 Nov 25
USA USA
2–1
Paraguay Paraguay
H
27 Mar 18
USA USA
1–0
Paraguay Paraguay
H
11 Jun 16
USA USA
1–0
Paraguay Paraguay
H

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Mexico Mexico
1 1 3
2
South Korea South Korea
1 1 3
3
Czechia Czechia
1 0 0
4
South Africa South Africa
1 0 0
1
Canada Canada
1 0 1
2
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 0 1
3
Qatar Qatar
0 0 0
4
Switzerland Switzerland
0 0 0
1
Brazil Brazil
0 0 0
2
Morocco Morocco
0 0 0
3
Haiti Haiti
0 0 0
4
Scotland Scotland
0 0 0
1
USA USA
1 1 3
2
Australia Australia
0 0 0
3
Türkiye Türkiye
0 0 0
4
Paraguay Paraguay
1 0 0
1
Germany Germany
0 0 0
2
Curaçao Curaçao
0 0 0
3
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast
0 0 0
4
Ecuador Ecuador
0 0 0
1
Netherlands Netherlands
0 0 0
2
Japan Japan
0 0 0
3
Sweden Sweden
0 0 0
4
Tunisia Tunisia
0 0 0
1
Belgium Belgium
0 0 0
2
Egypt Egypt
0 0 0
3
Iran Iran
0 0 0
4
New Zealand New Zealand
0 0 0
1
Spain Spain
0 0 0
2
Cape Verde Islands Cape Verde Islands
0 0 0
3
Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia
0 0 0
4
Uruguay Uruguay
0 0 0
1
France France
0 0 0
2
Senegal Senegal
0 0 0
3
Iraq Iraq
0 0 0
4
Norway Norway
0 0 0
1
Argentina Argentina
0 0 0
2
Algeria Algeria
0 0 0
3
Austria Austria
0 0 0
4
Jordan Jordan
0 0 0
1
Portugal Portugal
0 0 0
2
Congo DR Congo DR
0 0 0
3
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
0 0 0
4
Colombia Colombia
0 0 0
1
England England
0 0 0
2
Croatia Croatia
0 0 0
3
Ghana Ghana
0 0 0
4
Panama Panama
0 0 0
1
Türkiye Türkiye
0 0 0
2
Iran Iran
0 0 0
3
Austria Austria
0 0 0
4
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast
0 0 0
5
Sweden Sweden
0 0 0
6
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
0 0 0
7
Qatar Qatar
0 0 0
8
Iraq Iraq
0 0 0
9
Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia
0 0 0
10
Ghana Ghana
0 0 0
11
Haiti Haiti
0 0 0
12
Czechia Czechia
1 0 0
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

USA

2.05

Draw

3.30

Paraguay

3.80

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.50

Under 2.5

1.53

Both Teams Score

Yes

2.10

No

1.67

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