Football
A-League A-League
· Regular Season - 25
Adelaide United

Adelaide United

3–1

Full Time

Macarthur

Macarthur

🏟 Coopers Stadium, Adelaide
🟡 A. Kersey
📋 Regular Season - 25
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Adelaide United or Draw

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 Low Risk

Provider data shows Adelaide with a 45% chance to win and a 45% chance to draw, delivering a combined 90% probability for the double chance bet. Season metrics further bolster this with Adelaide’s defensive strength at 68% contrasted with Macarthur’s 32%, and only 2 failures to score compared to 7 from Macarthur. Although H2H data leans 71% in favor of Macarthur, Adelaide’s overall form (54% vs 46%) and goal scoring (41 goals for vs 34 against) support a safe double chance. This convergence of provider and season measures minimizes risk. The evidence is compelling enough to warrant a 90% confidence level for this bet.

Best Value

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under

The Under 2.5 Goals market offers significant value with season figures showing Adelaide recording 19 under outcomes out of 24 home games, and Macarthur achieving 21 under outcomes. Comparison data, with home goals under at 45% and away at 55%, slightly favors an under trend when combined with the season trends. Although some H2H matches were high-scoring, the consistent season performance provides a value edge exceeding 30%. This market is supported by robust season under statistics despite occasional high-scoring encounters. Overall, the probability is strong enough to designate this as a best optimal pick.

82%

prob.

1.22

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Adelaide Win or Draw

45% win and 45% draw percentages

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Adelaide United or Draw

90% combined double chance (45%+45%)

90%

odds 1.11

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Adelaide United
Adelaide United
DWDDD
Macarthur
Macarthur
LLLLD

Current Standings

2
Adelaide United
Adelaide United
26 P 12 W 43 Pts
7
Macarthur
Macarthur
26 P 9 W 34 Pts

Head to Head

19 Apr 26
Adelaide United Adelaide United
3–1
Macarthur Macarthur
H
30 Jan 26
Adelaide United Adelaide United
1–1
Macarthur Macarthur
D
27 Oct 25
Macarthur Macarthur
2–1
Adelaide United Adelaide United
H
14 Mar 25
Adelaide United Adelaide United
4–5
Macarthur Macarthur
A
6 Jan 25
Macarthur Macarthur
1–2
Adelaide United Adelaide United
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Auckland Auckland
26 15 53
2
Melbourne City Melbourne City
26 14 48
3
Western United Western United
26 14 47
4
Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers
26 13 46
5
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
26 12 43
6
Adelaide United Adelaide United
26 10 38
7
Sydney Sydney
26 10 37
8
Macarthur Macarthur
26 9 33
9
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
26 8 30
10
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
26 5 26
11
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
26 6 24
12
Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar
26 5 21
13
Perth Glory Perth Glory
26 4 17
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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