Football
Pro League Pro League
· Regular Season - 34
Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr

4–1

Full Time

Damac

Damac

🏟 King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh
🟡 K. Al Turais
📋 Regular Season - 34
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Al-Nassr Win

3-Way Result

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.09 bookmaker Low Risk

Al-Nassr's dominance is clear with a 89% Poisson distribution and a perfect 100% head-to-head advantage, reinforcing our pick for an Al-Nassr win. Season stats show Al-Nassr scoring 87 goals in 33 fixtures (an average of 2.6 per game) and only 4 losses overall, complementing the strong comparison metrics (63% form for home vs 38% for Damac). This aligns with historical H2H where Al-Nassr secured wins in 6 out of 8 encounters. The risk level is low given converging evidence from multiple independent metrics. Confidence is high at 90%.

Best Value

Al-Nassr or Draw

Double Chance

The Double Chance bet on 'Al-Nassr or Draw' leverages Al-Nassr’s near invincible form with a 63% form advantage at home and a combined seasonal win/draw record that virtually eliminates a loss. Head-to-head data further supports this with a 100% advantage in recent meetings. Despite the bookmaker odds of 1.02 implying a 98% chance, this option presents marginal value but stands as the most secure alternative among those with over 80% probability. While the value edge is minimal, the convergence of evidence across comparison metrics and H2H data supports its selection. The risk is extremely low and the evidence is overwhelmingly in favor.

98%

prob.

1.02

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Al-Nassr Win

Poisson distribution at 89% and H2H at 100%

90%

odds 1.09

Double Chance

Al-Nassr or Draw

Home form at 63% compared to Damac's 38% and 100% H2H

98%

odds 1.02

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr
No data
Damac
Damac
No data

Current Standings

1
Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr
34 P 28 W 86 Pts
16
Damac
Damac
34 P 6 W 29 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC
34 26 83
2
Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC
34 23 75
3
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
34 21 70
4
Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC
34 21 68
5
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah
34 21 67
6
Al Shabab Al Shabab
34 18 60
7
Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq
34 14 50
8
Al Taawon Al Taawon
34 12 45
9
Al Kholood Al Kholood
34 12 40
10
Al-Fateh Al-Fateh
34 11 39
11
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
34 10 38
12
Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat
34 10 37
13
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha
34 8 36
14
Damac Damac
34 9 35
15
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood
34 9 34
16
Al Wehda Club Al Wehda Club
34 9 33
17
Al Orubah Al Orubah
34 9 30
18
Al-Raed Al-Raed
34 6 21
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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