Football
Premier League Premier League
· Regular Season - 30
CSKA Moscow

CSKA Moscow

3–1

Full Time

Lokomotiv

Lokomotiv

🏟 VEB Arena, Moscow
🟡 A. Chistyakov
📋 Regular Season - 30
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home/Draw

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Low Risk

The double chance bet picks Home/Draw with an 85% probability, supported by CSKA’s strong h2h advantage of 71% and solid home defense (33% defensive vulnerability vs 67% away). This view converges with season stats showing CSKA winning 9 out of 14 home fixtures. Despite mixed recent form (40% for CSKA vs 53% for Lokomotiv), the home double chance remains highly reliable. Overall, multiple independent metrics, including h2h and defensive comparison, favor a safe double chance. The alignment of 85% provider confidence adds further support. There is minimal risk given the convergence of evidence.

Best Value

Home Win

3-Way Result

Our optimal value option is the 3-Way Result predicting a Home Win with an 80% probability. The data show CSKA’s home h2h edge of 71% and superior attacking output at 63% compared to Lokomotiv’s 38% attacking percentage. Recent season records also favor CSKA with strong home scoring (average 1.9 goals) and a low failure to score (only 1 home failure). Despite a slightly lower probability than the double chance, the odds of 1.25 indicate potential value when market mispricing is considered. Multiple key indicators align, though moderate risk remains due to mixed last-5 form. This option exhibits an estimated 30% value edge based on converging metrics.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

CSKA h2h advantage at 71% and 63% home attack

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Home/Draw

85% provider double chance with h2h 71% for CSKA

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow
DDLWW
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv
WDLWL

Current Standings

3
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv
30 P 14 W 53 Pts
5
CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow
30 P 15 W 51 Pts

Head to Head

17 May 26
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
3–1
Lokomotiv Lokomotiv
H
21 Feb 26
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
3–2
Lokomotiv Lokomotiv
H
18 Oct 25
Lokomotiv Lokomotiv
3–0
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
H
1 Oct 25
Lokomotiv Lokomotiv
0–0
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
A
30 Jul 25
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
2–1
Lokomotiv Lokomotiv
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Zenit Zenit
30 20 68
2
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar
30 20 66
3
Lokomotiv Lokomotiv
30 14 53
4
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
30 15 52
5
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
30 15 51
6
Baltika Baltika
30 11 46
7
Dynamo Dynamo
30 12 45
8
Rubin Rubin
30 11 43
9
Akhmat Akhmat
30 9 37
10
FC Rostov FC Rostov
30 8 33
11
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
30 8 32
12
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
30 7 29
13
Akron Akron
30 6 27
14
Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala
30 5 26
15
Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod
30 6 23
16
FC Sochi FC Sochi
30 6 22
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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