Guimaraes
Full Time
Casa Pia
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Guimaraes Win
3-Way Result
85%
confidence
Guimaraes exhibit overwhelming strength with a 91% form and 83% attacking advantage compared to Casa Pia's 9% and 17%. The Poisson distribution also favors Guimaraes at 75% for home, reinforcing the likely win despite H2H being evenly split at 50%. Season stats show Guimaraes scoring 1.6 goals per home match and conceding only 1.1, which further supports their edge. Although H2H results are balanced, the overall convergence of comparison metrics makes the win plausible. Minor risk remains given the 50% H2H balance and occasional defensive lapses. Overall, data from multiple independent sources indicate a Guimaraes win is the best bet.
Best Value
Guimaraes Win
Second Half Winner
Guimaraes' strong form of 91% and attacking rate of 83% suggest they will control the game, particularly in the second half. The bookmaker odds of 2.05 for a second half win imply only a 48.78% chance, which gives an approximate 31% value edge when we estimate an 80% probability. This discrepancy combined with their season home performance makes the market highly attractive. H2H results offer balanced evidence, but the high home impact in recent matches underlines a potential second half surge. The risk is moderate due to the possibility of an early goal, yet the data overwhelmingly supports a stronger second half performance.
80%
prob.
2.05
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Guimaraes Win
Guimaraes form: 91% vs Casa Pia: 9%
85%
odds 1.7
Double Chance
Guimaraes or Draw
Guimaraes home form: 91% and attack: 83%
90%
odds 1.18
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 88 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 82 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | 23 | 80 |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 59 |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 56 |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 50 |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 |  Arouca | 34 | 12 | 42 |
| 9 | Guimaraes ● | 34 | 12 | 42 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | 10 | 39 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | 10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 36 |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 36 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | 9 | 34 |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | 6 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia ● | 34 | 6 | 30 |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | 6 | 28 |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 21 |
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