Football
Segunda División Segunda División
· Regular Season - 42
Leganes

Leganes

1–0

Full Time

Mirandes

Mirandes

🏟 Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes
🟡 M. Orellana
📋 Regular Season - 42
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Leganes Win

3-Way Result

75%

confidence

Odds: 2.05 bookmaker Medium Risk

Our best bet is a 3-Way Result pick on Leganes Win. H2H comparison shows Leganes have a 75% edge and Poisson distribution favors the home side at 54% versus 46%. Despite contrasting form and attack metrics favoring Mirandes (88% and 82%), the historical head-to-head and goals metrics (75% in favor of Leganes) provide strong support. Season stats highlight Leganes’ tendency to keep clean sheets with 6 home clean sheets. This alignment of H2H and season evidence makes Leganes win a compelling choice. Given the mixed signals, we remain conservative with a 75% probability.

Best Value

Leganes Win

3-Way Result

For the best value pick, we also lean on the 3-Way market with a Leganes Win. By assigning an 80% probability, the implied probability from bookmaker odds at 2.05 is around 48.8%, leading to an approximate 31% value edge. The head-to-head evidence of a 75% favoring Leganes and season goals data (38 under 2.5 vs 3 over for Leganes) further reinforce this view. Despite the high form numbers for Mirandes, the value and H2H metrics converge on Leganes. We note a moderate risk given the conflicting form stats. Overall, the evidence is strong enough to claim a value edge.

80%

prob.

2.05

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Leganes Win

H2H home advantage at 75%

75%

odds 2.05

Double Chance

Leganes or Draw

Leganes or Draw odds at 1.33

85%

odds 1.33

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Leganes
Leganes
LLWLD
Mirandes
Mirandes
WLDWD

Current Standings

16
Leganes
Leganes
42 P 11 W 46 Pts
19
Mirandes
Mirandes
42 P 10 W 40 Pts

Head to Head

31 May 26
Leganes Leganes
1–0
Mirandes Mirandes
H
11 Oct 25
Mirandes Mirandes
0–0
Leganes Leganes
D
17 Mar 24
Leganes Leganes
4–0
Mirandes Mirandes
H
24 Sept 23
Mirandes Mirandes
1–3
Leganes Leganes
A
25 Feb 23
Mirandes Mirandes
0–0
Leganes Leganes
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Racing Santander Racing Santander
42 25 82
2
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
42 22 77
3
Almeria Almeria
42 22 74
4
Malaga Malaga
42 21 73
5
Las Palmas Las Palmas
42 20 73
6
Castellón Castellón
42 20 72
7
Burgos Burgos
42 20 72
8
Eibar Eibar
42 19 67
9
Cordoba Cordoba
42 17 61
10
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
42 18 61
11
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
42 17 61
12
Albacete Albacete
42 16 59
13
FC Andorra FC Andorra
42 16 58
14
Granada CF Granada CF
42 12 48
15
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
42 12 47
16
Leganes Leganes
42 11 46
17
Valladolid Valladolid
42 12 46
18
Cadiz Cadiz
42 11 43
19
Mirandes Mirandes
42 10 40
20
Huesca Huesca
42 9 38
21
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
42 9 37
22
Zaragoza Zaragoza
42 8 36
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Leganes

2.20

Draw

3.50

Mirandes

3.10

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.85

Under 2.5

1.95

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.67

No

2.10

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