Football
Segunda División Segunda División
· Regular Season - 42
Zaragoza

Zaragoza

0–2

Full Time

Malaga

Malaga

🏟 Ibercaja Estadio, Zaragoza
🟡 D. Palencia
📋 Regular Season - 42
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Malaga Win

3-Way Result

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.73 bookmaker Medium-High Risk

The data overwhelmingly favors Malaga with a comparison form of 91% and attack of 87% versus Zaragoza’s 9% and 13%. H2H results are balanced but season stats show Malaga averaging 2.6 goals compared to Zaragoza’s 0.4, reinforcing the expected away dominance. The Poisson distribution further supports an away advantage with 69% versus 31%. Despite mixed head-to-head evidence, the overall metrics converge for a strong away win. Caution is noted due to some H2H draw outcomes, but the weight from multiple independent metrics drives confidence. Overall, we rate the probability at 90% for a Malaga win.

Best Value

Malaga Win

3-Way Result

Malaga Win offers significant value given its odds of 1.73 and an implied probability of about 57.8%, while our evaluation supports a 90% chance. The comparison metrics (form 91% for away and attack 87% for away) and season averages (2.6 goals for Malaga vs 0.4 for Zaragoza) bolster this view. Despite H2H showing a 50/50 split, the overall metrics and Poisson distribution (69% away) create a convergent case. This creates an edge of roughly 32%, which is well above the 30% threshold, though inherent risks remain from H2H variance. Therefore, this outcome is identified as the best value.

90%

prob.

1.73

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Malaga Win

Away form 91% vs home form 9%

90%

odds 1.73

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Away attack at 100% vs home attack at 17%

88%

odds 1.22

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Zaragoza
Zaragoza
LDLLD
Malaga
Malaga
LLWDD

Current Standings

4
Malaga
Malaga
42 P 21 W 73 Pts
22
Zaragoza
Zaragoza
42 P 8 W 36 Pts

Head to Head

31 May 26
Zaragoza Zaragoza
0–2
Malaga Malaga
A
8 Dec 25
Malaga Malaga
1–1
Zaragoza Zaragoza
D
26 Jan 25
Malaga Malaga
1–2
Zaragoza Zaragoza
A
17 Nov 24
Zaragoza Zaragoza
0–0
Malaga Malaga
D
20 Feb 23
Malaga Malaga
3–0
Zaragoza Zaragoza
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Racing Santander Racing Santander
42 25 82
2
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
42 22 77
3
Almeria Almeria
42 22 74
4
Malaga Malaga
42 21 73
5
Las Palmas Las Palmas
42 20 73
6
Castellón Castellón
42 20 72
7
Burgos Burgos
42 20 72
8
Eibar Eibar
42 19 67
9
Cordoba Cordoba
42 17 61
10
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
42 18 61
11
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
42 17 61
12
Albacete Albacete
42 16 59
13
FC Andorra FC Andorra
42 16 58
14
Granada CF Granada CF
42 12 48
15
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
42 12 47
16
Leganes Leganes
42 11 46
17
Valladolid Valladolid
42 12 46
18
Cadiz Cadiz
42 11 43
19
Mirandes Mirandes
42 10 40
20
Huesca Huesca
42 9 38
21
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
42 9 37
22
Zaragoza Zaragoza
42 8 36
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Zaragoza

5.50

Draw

4.00

Malaga

1.60

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.90

Under 2.5

1.90

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.83

No

1.83

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