The 3-Way Result pick for a Home Win is supported by multiple metrics: the Poisson distribution shows a 64% advantage for home and the goals comparison is 69% for home versus 31% for away, while the H2H metric stands at 62% in Eibar's favor. Seasonal data confirms home teams have a strong edge with 9 clean sheets at home. Despite Cordoba’s strong last-5 form at 80%, the aggregated metric (4 out of 6) leans towards Eibar when considering attack, defense, and scoring consistency. The risk is moderate due to a minor form conflict but overall evidence converges on a Home Win. Thus, we assign a 75% probability to an Eibar win. This level of confidence justifies it being the best bet.