Football
La Liga La Liga
· Regular Season - 37
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

2–0

Full Time

Villarreal

Villarreal

🏟 Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid
🟡 R. De Burgos
📋 Regular Season - 37
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Villarreal Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 3 bookmaker Medium Risk

Our comprehensive analysis supports a Villarreal Win in the 3-Way Result. The comparison metrics show a significant away advantage with Villarreal having 58% attacking strength versus Rayo’s 42% plus an 85% h2h edge. Historical head-to-head data further reinforces this with 6 wins out of 10 meetings, and Villarreal’s season attack average of 2.2 goals compared to Rayo’s 1.6. While Rayo’s home form is 53%, the convergence of multiple data points gives us an 80% probability. The risk remains moderate given Rayo’s decent defense at 58% from home. Overall, the evidence points strongly to a Villarreal victory.

Best Value

Villarreal Win

3-Way Result

The 3-Way Result for Villarreal Win is not only our highest confidence pick but also presents significant value. With a probability of 80% and bookmaker odds at 3.00, the implied probability is around 33.3%, yielding a notable value edge of approximately 46.7%. Comparison metrics reflecting a 58% attacking rate for Villarreal and an 85% h2h advantage bolster this pick. Additionally, season stats underline Villarreal’s average of 2.2 goals, further supporting the prediction. Though risks exist due to Rayo’s 53% form, the convergence of evidence makes this our best value bet.

80%

prob.

3

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Villarreal Win

Villarreal h2h advantage at 85%

80%

odds 3

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Rayo form 53% vs Villarreal att 58%

80%

odds 1.57

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
WWWDW
Villarreal
Villarreal
WDWLW

Current Standings

3
Villarreal
Villarreal
38 P 22 W 72 Pts
8
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
38 P 12 W 50 Pts

Head to Head

17 May 26
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
2–0
Villarreal Villarreal
H
1 Nov 25
Villarreal Villarreal
4–0
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
H
22 Feb 25
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
0–1
Villarreal Villarreal
A
18 Dec 24
Villarreal Villarreal
1–1
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
D
28 Apr 24
Villarreal Villarreal
3–0
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Barcelona Barcelona
38 31 94
2
Real Madrid Real Madrid
38 27 86
3
Villarreal Villarreal
38 22 72
4
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
38 21 69
5
Real Betis Real Betis
38 15 60
6
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
38 14 54
7
Getafe Getafe
38 15 51
8
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
38 12 50
9
Valencia Valencia
38 13 49
10
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
38 11 46
11
Espanyol Espanyol
38 12 46
12
Athletic Club Athletic Club
38 13 45
13
Sevilla Sevilla
38 12 43
14
Alaves Alaves
38 11 43
15
Elche Elche
38 10 43
16
Levante Levante
38 11 42
17
Osasuna Osasuna
38 11 42
18
Mallorca Mallorca
38 11 42
19
Girona Girona
38 9 41
20
Oviedo Oviedo
38 6 29
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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