1. FC Heidenheim
Full Time
FSV Mainz 05
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
1. FC Heidenheim Win
3-Way Result
75%
confidence
The 3-Way Result pick for a 1. FC Heidenheim Win is supported by strong home comparison metrics with 71% form and 63% attack, and last-5 stats showing a 67% form. The home team’s average goals of 2.4 compared to Mainz’s 1.4 add further backing. Although H2H results are balanced at 50% each, the overall metrics favor the home side. Season data also shows a favorable attacking trend for Heidenheim. This prediction faces some risk from mixed Poisson values and recent away clean sheets, yet multiple independent stats point to a home advantage. Confidence is set at 75% based on the converging evidence.
Best Value
Draw/Away
Double Chance
The best optimal value pick is the Double Chance bet on 'Draw/Away'. Although overall metrics favor 1. FC Heidenheim, the bookmaker odds of 1.91 for Draw/Away imply an underestimation with an implied probability of about 52.4%. This contrasts with recent volatility seen in H2H results and away’s 29% form, suggesting that a non-home win outcome might be undervalued. With our predicted probability set at 85%, the value edge is approximately 32.6%. The convergence of evidence from H2H and defensive inconsistencies supports this contrarian angle. Risks remain due to the strong home metrics but the edge in odds is significant.
85%
prob.
1.91
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
1. FC Heidenheim Win
Home form at 71% and 67% last-5 form
75%
odds 1.91
Double Chance
1. FC Heidenheim or Draw
71% home form vs 29% away form
80%
odds 1.28
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 89 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 73 |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 65 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 62 |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 61 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 59 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 47 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 44 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 43 |
| 10 | FSV Mainz 05 ● | 34 | 10 | 40 |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 38 |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 38 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 32 |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 32 |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim ● | 34 | 6 | 26 |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 26 |
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