Football
Bundesliga Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 33
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

3–2

Full Time

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

🏟 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
🟡 Felix Zwayer, Germany
📋 Regular Season - 33
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Draw/Away

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.44 bookmaker Low Risk

Hamburger SV’s recent last-5 form is only 27% compared to SC Freiburg’s 47%, and head-to-head figures show an 80% favor towards Freiburg. Choosing the Double Chance market 'Draw/Away' with odds of 1.44 minimizes risk by covering both a draw and an away win. Season stats further reinforce Hamburg’s struggles at home, while Freiburg’s form and H2H emphasis increase confidence. This double chance bet benefits from converging evidence across metrics. Overall, we assign an 85% probability to this outcome. The risk is considered Low given the safety net provided by the double coverage.

Best Value

SC Freiburg Win

3-Way Result

SC Freiburg’s win shows a significant value edge: an 80% probability implies fair odds of about 1.25, yet the bookmaker offers 2.45. Comparison metrics back this with Freiburg’s form at 64% versus Hamburg’s 36% and H2H at 80% in favor of Freiburg. Additionally, Freiburg’s away attack, averaging 1.0 goal per match, reinforces this choice. Although slightly less conservative at 80%, the massive edge of roughly 96% makes this bet optimal. Multiple independent metrics converge to support this prediction despite natural match unpredictability.

80%

prob.

2.45

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

SC Freiburg Win

SC Freiburg favored 80% in H2H and 64% in form

80%

odds 2.45

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Hamburger 27% vs Freiburg 47% in last-5 form

85%

odds 1.44

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
LDLDW
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
LLLWW

Current Standings

7
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
34 P 13 W 47 Pts
13
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
34 P 9 W 38 Pts

Head to Head

10 May 26
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
3–2
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
H
10 Jan 26
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
2–1
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
H
30 Oct 24
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
2–1
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
H
13 Jan 23
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
6–2
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
H
19 Apr 22
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
1–3
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München
34 28 89
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
34 22 73
3
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
34 20 65
4
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
34 18 62
5
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
34 18 61
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
34 17 59
7
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
34 13 47
8
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
34 11 44
9
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
34 12 43
10
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
34 10 40
11
Union Berlin Union Berlin
34 10 39
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
34 9 38
13
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
34 9 38
14
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
34 7 32
15
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
34 8 32
16
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
34 7 29
17
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
34 6 26
18
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
34 6 26
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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