Football
Ligue 1 Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 34
Lorient

Lorient

0–2

Full Time

Le Havre

Le Havre

🏟 Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
🟡 C. Turpin
📋 Regular Season - 34
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Lorient Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 2.62 bookmaker Medium Risk

Lorient show a strong edge with a 64% form advantage at home compared to a 36% away form for Le Havre, and the Poisson metric gives a 73% chance for Lorient. The home team also led in the H2H comparison with 62% versus 38%, supporting a Lorient win. Season goals data further back this with a home average of 1.9 versus an away average of 0.6 for Le Havre. Although there are always risks in football, multiple independent metrics converge on a Lorient win. This prediction is made with conservative yet confident judgment. Overall, the evidence from comparison (64% form and 73% Poisson) and H2H (62% advantage) supports this bet.

Best Value

Lorient or Draw

Double Chance

The Double Chance market offers value with strong odds and an impressive probability. With Lorient’s solid form at 64% and a Poisson advantage of 73%, the double chance ‘Lorient or Draw’ further minimizes risk. Historical data shows that Lorient most often avoid defeat at home, and the bookmaker odds of 1.50 provide a substantial edge over implied probabilities. This bet has a value edge approximating over 30%, as the combined probability of around 90% far exceeds the risk-neutral probability threshold. While all data points converge on safety, minor uncertainties in match dynamics are still present. Therefore, this option stands out as a high value play.

90%

prob.

1.5

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Lorient Win

Home form at 64% and Poisson 73%

80%

odds 2.62

Double Chance

Lorient or Draw

Double chance probability estimated at 90%

90%

odds 1.5

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Lorient
Lorient
LDLWD
Le Havre
Le Havre
DDLDL

Current Standings

9
Lorient
Lorient
34 P 11 W 45 Pts
14
Le Havre
Le Havre
34 P 7 W 35 Pts

Head to Head

17 May 26
Lorient Lorient
0–2
Le Havre Le Havre
A
21 Sept 25
Le Havre Le Havre
1–1
Lorient Lorient
D
28 Jan 24
Lorient Lorient
3–3
Le Havre Le Havre
D
3 Sept 23
Le Havre Le Havre
3–0
Lorient Lorient
H
29 Jul 23
Le Havre Le Havre
0–2
Lorient Lorient
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
34 24 76
2
Lens Lens
34 22 70
3
Lille Lille
34 18 61
4
Lyon Lyon
34 18 60
5
Marseille Marseille
34 18 59
6
Rennes Rennes
34 17 59
7
Monaco Monaco
34 16 54
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
34 15 53
9
Lorient Lorient
34 11 45
10
Toulouse Toulouse
33 12 44
11
Paris FC Paris FC
34 11 44
12
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
34 10 39
13
Angers Angers
34 9 36
14
Le Havre Le Havre
34 7 35
15
Auxerre Auxerre
34 8 34
16
Nice Nice
34 7 32
17
Nantes Nantes
33 5 23
18
Metz Metz
34 3 17
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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