Swansea
Full Time
Charlton
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Swansea Win
3-Way Result
90%
confidence
The data strongly favors Swansea with a 91% h2h advantage and 67% goal dominance at home. Comparison metrics show Swansea's form at 62% versus Charlton's 38%, reinforcing a high likelihood for a home win. Historical H2H reveals Swansea converting wins in similar fixtures, with an average goal contribution of 1.4 in their last 5 games. Season stats underline Swansea's consistency, particularly with 31 home goals in 22 matches. This pick is underpinned by multiple converging metrics and carries low risk. With all evidence aligning, we are confident in a Swansea win.
Best Value
Swansea Win
3-Way Result
Swansea’s value edge is significant here with an implied probability of about 55.6% from the 1.80 odds against our assessed 90% probability. The comparative metrics, including a 60% Poisson and a striking 91% h2h win rate, further validate this selection. Season statistics show a solid scoring record at home and defensive resilience with 7 clean sheets. This convergence of independent metrics presents a clear value opportunity. Despite minimal inherent match risks, the evidence supports this optimal value bet.
90%
prob.
1.8
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Swansea Win
91% h2h advantage and 67% goal metric for Swansea
90%
odds 1.8
Double Chance
Swansea or Draw
62% home form and 91% h2h advantage
93%
odds 1.2
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 46 | 28 | 95 |
| 2 |  Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 84 |
| 3 |  Millwall | 46 | 24 | 83 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 |  Hull City | 46 | 21 | 73 |
| 7 |  Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 71 |
| 8 |  Derby | 46 | 20 | 69 |
| 9 |  Norwich | 46 | 19 | 65 |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea ● | 46 | 18 | 64 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 62 |
| 13 |  Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 60 |
| 14 |  Preston | 46 | 15 | 60 |
| 15 |  QPR | 46 | 16 | 58 |
| 16 |  Watford | 46 | 14 | 57 |
| 17 |  Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 55 |
| 18 |  Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton ● | 46 | 13 | 53 |
| 20 |  Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 52 |
| 21 |  West Brom | 46 | 13 | 51 |
| 22 |  Oxford United | 46 | 11 | 47 |
| 23 |  Leicester | 46 | 12 | 46 |
| 24 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 46 | 2 | 0 |
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