NEC Nijmegen
Full Time
GO Ahead Eagles
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
NEC Nijmegen or Draw
Double Chance
80%
confidence
Our analysis converges on safety with a double chance pick as several metrics support NEC Nijmegen’s resilience at home. The Poisson distribution gives NEC a 64% home edge while season stats show 8 wins in 16 home fixtures. This, combined with overall league form, points to avoiding an away upset, despite H2H favoring the visitors. Double Chance covers the risk of a draw too, leading to an 80% conservative probability estimation. Given these converging data points, this bet minimizes downside risk.
Best Value
NEC Nijmegen/NEC Nijmegen
HT/FT Double
For optimal value the HT/FT Double market offers significant upside. We pick NEC Nijmegen to win both halves based on season home form and an under-the-radar edge from H2H when NEC control early spells; note that in one past fixture, NEC went 1-0 at halftime before sealing the win. With bookmaker odds at 1.95 compared to an implied probability of only 51.3%, our conservative adjustment to 80% yields a value edge above 30%. Although evidence from head-to-head is mixed, season home performance and defensive solidity support this aggressive value play.
80%
prob.
1.95
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
NEC Nijmegen Win
Poisson home win at 64% vs away 36%
55%
odds 1.38
Double Chance
NEC Nijmegen or Draw
NEC home win stats: 8 wins out of 16 games
80%
odds 1.1
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
NEC Nijmegen GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen GO Ahead Eagles +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 27 | 84 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 65 |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen ● | 34 | 16 | 59 |
| 4 |  Twente | 34 | 15 | 58 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 34 | 14 | 56 |
| 6 |  Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 53 |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 52 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 51 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 34 | 14 | 48 |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 43 |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 34 | 11 | 39 |
| 12 | GO Ahead Eagles ● | 34 | 8 | 38 |
| 13 |  Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 38 |
| 14 |  Telstar | 34 | 9 | 37 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 37 |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 32 |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 29 |
| 18 |  Heracles | 34 | 5 | 19 |
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