AZ Alkmaar
Full Time
NAC Breda
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
AZ Alkmaar Win
3-Way Result
90%
confidence
The convergence of multiple metrics strongly favors AZ Alkmaar. Their home form stands at 64% compared to NAC Breda's 36%, and the Poisson distribution shows a 76% chance for AZ win. H2H data reveals a 71% advantage for AZ, with 8 wins out of 10 encounters. Season stats also indicate a superior home goal average and clean sheet record. Although risks exist, the evidence is overwhelming with a 90% estimated probability.
Best Value
AZ Alkmaar
Team to Score First
Taking a value approach, AZ Alkmaar is also favored to score first given their strong attacking performance. Their home attacking metric is at 73% while NAC Breda’s attack is only 18% in recent form. With fallback odds of 100, the implied probability is extremely low, which creates a significant edge when our estimated probability is 80%. This divergence makes it attractive despite the fallback odds.
80%
prob.
1.12
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
AZ Alkmaar Win
71% h2h advantage
90%
odds 1.36
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar or Draw
64% home form vs 36% away
92%
odds 1.08
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
AZ Alkmaar NAC Breda NAC Breda AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar NAC Breda NAC Breda AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar NAC Breda +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 27 | 84 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 65 |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 59 |
| 4 |  Twente | 34 | 15 | 58 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 34 | 14 | 56 |
| 6 |  Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar ● | 34 | 14 | 52 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 51 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 34 | 14 | 48 |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 43 |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 34 | 11 | 39 |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 34 | 8 | 38 |
| 13 |  Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 38 |
| 14 |  Telstar | 34 | 9 | 37 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 37 |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda ● | 34 | 6 | 29 |
| 18 |  Heracles | 34 | 5 | 19 |
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