Football
Ekstraklasa Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 33
Radomiak Radom

Radomiak Radom

1–3

Full Time

Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan

🏟 Stadion im. Braci Czachorów, Radom
🟡 K. Arys
📋 Regular Season - 33
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Lech Poznan Win

3-Way Result

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.75 bookmaker Low Risk

The 3-Way Result market is strongly supported by multiple metrics: the H2H shows an 85% win probability for away and Lech’s last-5 form is 73%. Additionally, Lech averages 2.2 goals compared to Radomiak's 1.2, confirming their attacking superiority. This convergence of comparison (67% goals for away) and historical H2H evidence builds confidence in a Lech win. Bookmaker odds of 1.75 far exceed the fair value estimated from a 90% probability level. While season defensive stats also improve the case, caution is advised in betting markets. Overall, these independent data points justify the high confidence in a Lech Poznan win.

Best Value

Lech Poznan Win

3-Way Result

The best optimal value comes from the 3-Way Result market as well, where Lech’s strong away metrics (85% H2H and 67% goal comparison) combine with impressive recent form (73%) to support a win. The bookmaker odd of 1.75 delivers an estimated value edge of over 57% against fair odds calculated from a 90% win probability. Multiple independent metrics along with season offensive stats (2.2 goals average) converge in favor of Lech. This option meets the criteria with a high probability and significant value edge, though inherent match unpredictability means moderate caution is still warranted.

90%

prob.

1.75

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Lech Poznan Win

H2H away percentage of 85% and Lech form at 73%

90%

odds 1.75

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Lech att at 100% in last 5 and 85% H2H advantage

92%

odds 1.22

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom
WLDLD
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
WDDWW

Current Standings

1
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
34 P 16 W 60 Pts
10
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom
34 P 11 W 44 Pts

Head to Head

16 May 26
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
1–3
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
A
23 Nov 25
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
4–1
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
H
27 Apr 25
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
2–2
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
D
26 Oct 24
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
2–1
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
H
16 Dec 23
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
2–2
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
34 16 60
2
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
34 16 56
3
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
34 15 56
4
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
34 16 55
5
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
34 14 50
6
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
34 12 49
7
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
34 13 48
8
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
34 12 46
9
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
34 13 45
10
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
34 11 44
11
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
34 11 43
12
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
34 10 43
13
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
34 9 42
14
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
34 12 42
15
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
34 11 41
16
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
34 12 38
17
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
34 9 36
18
Nieciecza Nieciecza
34 9 34
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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