Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 38
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1–1

Full Time

Atalanta

Atalanta

🏟 Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
🟡 M. Perri
📋 Regular Season - 38
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

82%

confidence

Odds: 1.22 calculated Medium Risk

The 3-Way Result picks an Away Win based on multiple converging metrics: Atalanta's attacking strength (67% vs 33%) and Poisson distribution (58% for away) along with a 60% advantage in head-to-head data clearly tilt the balance despite Fiorentina’s slightly better form (55%). Additionally, Atalanta’s last-5 goal average of 1.2 compared to Fiorentina’s 0.6 reinforces the possibility of an away win. These statistics, including the h2h split of 40% home versus 60% away, justify a confident pick with moderate risk.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The Goals Over/Under market shows strong value with Under 2.5 being supported by season and last-5 stats: Fiorentina’s under count of 35 (over 2 vs 2) and Atalanta’s similar trend (32 under vs 5 over) indicate a low-scoring affair. With a combined total average around 1.8 goals (0.6 for Fiorentina and 1.2 for Atalanta) and defensive metrics favoring fewer goals, the evidence converges to a 90% probability for Under 2.5. This bet offers a significant value edge with robust supporting metrics and low risk.

90%

prob.

1.11

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H advantage: 60% for away

82%

odds 1.22

Double Chance

Away or Draw

Combined double chance probability around 85%

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
DWWLW
Atalanta
Atalanta
LDLWW

Current Standings

7
Atalanta
Atalanta
38 P 15 W 59 Pts
15
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
38 P 9 W 42 Pts

Head to Head

22 May 26
Fiorentina Fiorentina
1–1
Atalanta Atalanta
D
30 Nov 25
Atalanta Atalanta
2–0
Fiorentina Fiorentina
H
30 Mar 25
Fiorentina Fiorentina
1–0
Atalanta Atalanta
H
15 Sept 24
Atalanta Atalanta
3–2
Fiorentina Fiorentina
H
2 Jun 24
Atalanta Atalanta
2–3
Fiorentina Fiorentina
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Inter Inter
38 27 87
2
Napoli Napoli
38 23 76
3
AS Roma AS Roma
38 23 73
4
Como Como
38 20 71
5
AC Milan AC Milan
38 20 70
6
Juventus Juventus
38 19 69
7
Atalanta Atalanta
38 15 59
8
Bologna Bologna
38 16 56
9
Lazio Lazio
38 14 54
10
Udinese Udinese
38 14 50
11
Sassuolo Sassuolo
38 14 49
12
Torino Torino
38 12 45
13
Parma Parma
38 11 45
14
Cagliari Cagliari
38 11 43
15
Fiorentina Fiorentina
38 9 42
16
Genoa Genoa
38 10 41
17
Lecce Lecce
38 10 38
18
Cremonese Cremonese
38 8 34
19
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona
38 3 21
20
Pisa Pisa
38 2 18
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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