Cremonese
Full Time
Como
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Draw/Away
Double Chance
85%
confidence
The Double Chance bet on Draw/Away is compelling given Como’s superior last-5 form at 67% compared to Cremonese’s 47% and a stronger defensive record in season (Como conceded 0.8 per match vs Cremonese’s 1.4). This market benefits from covering the most likely outcomes and mitigates risk from any one-off surprise, while H2H evidence shows frequent draws. Seasonal trends also back a non-loss for Como and a degree of unpredictability in the head-to-head. Although conflicting metrics exist, the convergence on a safer outcome gives us a solid 85% confidence.
Best Value
Como Win
3-Way Result
The 3-Way Result bet on a Como Win offers value when considering comparison metrics like a 77% Poisson advantage for the away side and a 59% form edge for Como. Although H2H figures favor Cremonese, season stats show Como’s superior attack (1.6 goals per match) and defensive solidity (0.8 goals conceded). This discrepancy creates a value edge; with bookmaker odds at 1.57, the implied probability is only about 63.7%, yielding an approximate edge of 16%, which rates as a moderate value edge. With an assigned confidence of 80%, this pick provides the best balance of risk and value.
80%
prob.
1.57
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Como Win
Poisson distribution: Away 77%
80%
odds 1.57
Double Chance
Draw/Away
Last-5 form: Como 67% vs Cremonese 47%
85%
odds 1.17
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 38 | 27 | 87 |
| 2 |  Napoli | 38 | 23 | 76 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 38 | 23 | 73 |
| 4 | Como ● | 38 | 20 | 71 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 70 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 38 | 19 | 69 |
| 7 |  Atalanta | 38 | 15 | 59 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 38 | 16 | 56 |
| 9 |  Lazio | 38 | 14 | 54 |
| 10 |  Udinese | 38 | 14 | 50 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 38 | 14 | 49 |
| 12 |  Torino | 38 | 12 | 45 |
| 13 |  Parma | 38 | 11 | 45 |
| 14 |  Cagliari | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 38 | 9 | 42 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 38 | 10 | 41 |
| 17 |  Lecce | 38 | 10 | 38 |
| 18 | Cremonese ● | 38 | 8 | 34 |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona | 38 | 3 | 21 |
| 20 |  Pisa | 38 | 2 | 18 |
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