Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 38
Cremonese

Cremonese

1–4

Full Time

Como

Como

🏟 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
🟡 F. Maresca
📋 Regular Season - 38
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Draw/Away

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.17 bookmaker Medium Risk

The Double Chance bet on Draw/Away is compelling given Como’s superior last-5 form at 67% compared to Cremonese’s 47% and a stronger defensive record in season (Como conceded 0.8 per match vs Cremonese’s 1.4). This market benefits from covering the most likely outcomes and mitigates risk from any one-off surprise, while H2H evidence shows frequent draws. Seasonal trends also back a non-loss for Como and a degree of unpredictability in the head-to-head. Although conflicting metrics exist, the convergence on a safer outcome gives us a solid 85% confidence.

Best Value

Como Win

3-Way Result

The 3-Way Result bet on a Como Win offers value when considering comparison metrics like a 77% Poisson advantage for the away side and a 59% form edge for Como. Although H2H figures favor Cremonese, season stats show Como’s superior attack (1.6 goals per match) and defensive solidity (0.8 goals conceded). This discrepancy creates a value edge; with bookmaker odds at 1.57, the implied probability is only about 63.7%, yielding an approximate edge of 16%, which rates as a moderate value edge. With an assigned confidence of 80%, this pick provides the best balance of risk and value.

80%

prob.

1.57

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Como Win

Poisson distribution: Away 77%

80%

odds 1.57

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Last-5 form: Como 67% vs Cremonese 47%

85%

odds 1.17

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Cremonese
Cremonese
LDLLW
Como
Como
LLLDW

Current Standings

4
Como
Como
38 P 20 W 71 Pts
18
Cremonese
Cremonese
38 P 8 W 34 Pts

Head to Head

24 May 26
Cremonese Cremonese
1–4
Como Como
A
27 Sept 25
Como Como
1–1
Cremonese Cremonese
D
9 Mar 24
Cremonese Cremonese
2–1
Como Como
H
8 Oct 23
Como Como
1–3
Cremonese Cremonese
A
6 May 22
como como
1–2
Cremonese Cremonese
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Atalanta Atalanta
0 0 0
2
Bologna Bologna
0 0 0
3
Cagliari Cagliari
0 0 0
4
Como Como
0 0 0
5
Fiorentina Fiorentina
0 0 0
6
Frosinone Frosinone
0 0 0
7
Genoa Genoa
0 0 0
8
Inter Inter
0 0 0
9
Juventus Juventus
0 0 0
10
Lazio Lazio
0 0 0
11
Lecce Lecce
0 0 0
12
AC Milan AC Milan
0 0 0
13
Monza Monza
0 0 0
14
Napoli Napoli
0 0 0
15
Parma Parma
0 0 0
16
AS Roma AS Roma
0 0 0
17
Sassuolo Sassuolo
0 0 0
18
Torino Torino
0 0 0
19
Udinese Udinese
0 0 0
20
Venezia Venezia
0 0 0
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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