Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 37
Sassuolo

Sassuolo

2–3

Full Time

Lecce

Lecce

🏟 MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
🟡 F. La Penna
📋 Regular Season - 37
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Sassuolo Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 2.62 bookmaker Medium Risk

Our analysis favors a Sassuolo win as three independent data sets point in that direction. Sassuolo’s comparison metrics show a solid 58% form versus Lecce’s 42% and a 62% advantage in head-to-head records. Season stats also highlight Sassuolo’s stronger offensive output and better home performance. This convergence makes the 3-Way Result bet on Sassuolo win attractive, though there is inherent risk due to some variability in H2H draws. We assign an 80% probability reflecting a conservative stance. Bookmaker odds of 2.62 support this choice.

Best Value

Sassuolo Win

Second Half Winner

For optimal value, we target the second half outcome where the data suggests continued momentum for Sassuolo. Despite bookmaker odds of 2.88 implying a 34.7% chance, our convergence from comparison metrics (64% Poisson home vs 36% away) and strong H2H wins (4 Sassuolo wins) justify an estimated 81% probability. This discrepancy offers a significant value edge. Season indicators and recent form bolster Sassuolo’s potential to dominate the latter half. The evidence comes from multiple layers, though inherent match volatility imposes a risk. With a high estimated value edge, we rate this option at value rating 5.

81%

prob.

2.88

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Sassuolo Win

Sassuolo home form 58% vs Lecce 42%

80%

odds 2.62

Double Chance

Sassuolo or Draw

Sassuolo wins 14/36 vs Lecce wins 8/36

83%

odds 1.44

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
WLWDL
Lecce
Lecce
DLLLL

Current Standings

11
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
38 P 14 W 49 Pts
17
Lecce
Lecce
38 P 10 W 38 Pts

Head to Head

17 May 26
Sassuolo Sassuolo
2–3
Lecce Lecce
A
18 Oct 25
Lecce Lecce
0–0
Sassuolo Sassuolo
D
24 Sept 24
Lecce Lecce
0–2
Sassuolo Sassuolo
A
21 Apr 24
Sassuolo Sassuolo
0–3
Lecce Lecce
A
6 Oct 23
Lecce Lecce
1–1
Sassuolo Sassuolo
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Inter Inter
38 27 87
2
Napoli Napoli
38 23 76
3
AS Roma AS Roma
38 23 73
4
Como Como
38 20 71
5
AC Milan AC Milan
38 20 70
6
Juventus Juventus
38 19 69
7
Atalanta Atalanta
38 15 59
8
Bologna Bologna
38 16 56
9
Lazio Lazio
38 14 54
10
Udinese Udinese
38 14 50
11
Sassuolo Sassuolo
38 14 49
12
Torino Torino
38 12 45
13
Parma Parma
38 11 45
14
Cagliari Cagliari
38 11 43
15
Fiorentina Fiorentina
38 9 42
16
Genoa Genoa
38 10 41
17
Lecce Lecce
38 10 38
18
Cremonese Cremonese
38 8 34
19
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona
38 3 21
20
Pisa Pisa
38 2 18
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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